NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	111		Excitement	2.7 [1216]		MVP	Avery Bradley (BOS): +12.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Comeback	1.2 [288]		LVP	Dion Waiters (CLE): -5.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Bradley	0.13	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.18	0.00	0.06	15	78%	0.13	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0.11	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.01	-0.00	-0.10	23	53%	0.15	4	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.01	0.04	11	70%	0.09	1	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Jeff Green	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	18	45%	0.03	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01
Chris Babb	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Phil Pressey	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.02	8	56%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.03	7	39%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.04	14	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	9	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.05	8	52%	-0.01	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.01
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	15	39%	0.01	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.03
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	0.00	0.05	12	52%	-0.02	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	9	56%	-0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	15	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.4	28.6	15.3	26.3	1.8	28.0	130.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +39.3%

BOS +3.5%

CLE -0.5%

BOS +6.0%

BOS +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CLE	NBA	BOS	CLE	NBA
this game	14.8	14.1	15.1	111.0	100.0	105.2
season	15.4	15.2		101.2	102.8
opponent	15.3	15.0		106.5	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.2	15.6	14.8	17.0	14.8
CLE	15.5	13.2	14.6	13.0	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Avery Bradley	65	65	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.41	31	-19	50	13.8	16.8	-2.96	14.9	12.6	2.24
Kelly Olynyk	81	81	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.20	10	2	8	14.9	14.5	0.46	13.9	15.0	-1.11
Phil Pressey	87	85	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.27	6	6	0	15.5	10.5	5.04	14.1	14.1	0.02
Jeff Green	67	64	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.22	21	-9	30	14.6	15.3	-0.63	13.7	14.8	-1.05
Brandon Bass	71	69	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	2	8	14.7	15.1	-0.36	14.5	13.2	1.28
Joel Anthony	46	47	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	7	-2	14.3	15.3	-1.05	13.9	14.2	-0.34
Chris Babb	35	36	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.39	-10	22	-32	16.0	14.2	1.77	14.7	13.7	0.95
Chris Johnson	48	48	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.44	-13	25	-38	15.1	14.7	0.41	13.0	15.1	-2.04

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anderson Varejao	34	34	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.21	-9	-3	-6	15.8	13.2	2.55	13.1	15.8	-2.71
Alonzo Gee	41	43	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.42	12	-24	36	13.3	14.7	-1.36	15.7	14.2	1.45
Matthew Dellavedova	66	67	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.40	7	-19	26	14.1	14.0	0.14	14.6	15.3	-0.68
Tyler Zeller	54	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.39	4	-16	20	13.1	15.3	-2.24	15.4	14.2	1.18
Spencer Hawes	43	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.22	-18	6	-24	13.8	14.3	-0.49	15.3	14.5	0.79
Jarrett Jack	69	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.26	-2	-10	8	14.3	13.5	0.80	14.9	14.7	0.25
Tristan Thompson	67	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-11	10	14.2	13.8	0.46	15.2	14.2	1.00
Kyrie Irving	64	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.34	-27	15	-42	14.4	13.5	0.98	14.3	15.8	-1.49
Dion Waiters	57	58	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.30	-26	14	-40	13.9	14.3	-0.38	14.8	14.9	-0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.31,0.21,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 86, SEA 65	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.29,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
CHI 107, NOH 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.24,0.28,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	96.7%
ORL 103, CLE 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.27,0.28,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	96.7%