NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	86		Excitement	2.2 [1245]		MVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (SEA): +7.5%
Seattle SuperSonics	65		Comeback	1.0 [583]		LVP	Ronald Murray (SEA): -6.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.00	-0.06	16	56%	0.09	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.00	11	58%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Elden Campbell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	4	100%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Corliss Williamson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	62%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mike James	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tremaine Fowlkes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	11	55%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	9	41%	0.00	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.02

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.01	-0.05	10	68%	0.11	3	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	8	61%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Calvin Booth	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
Richie Frahm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ansu Sesay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.12	0.00	-0.07	6	17%	-0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	15	50%	-0.01	4	-0.04	2	100%	-0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.02	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.8	29.2	14.6	26.2	1.7	25.2	124.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +12.2%

DET +9.6%

DET +5.6%

DET +21.0%

DET +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	SEA	NBA	DET	SEA	NBA
this game	20.0	16.7	15.7	110.3	82.3	100.5
season	16.2	15.6		99.2	105.0
opponent	15.7	16.0		105.9	92.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	17.4	18.9	20.4	23.8	20.0
SEA	16.9	14.7	19.6	16.2	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	59	58	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.29	30	-9	39	20.2	19.3	0.85	17.9	13.6	4.33
Lindsey Hunter	55	57	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.19	24	-3	27	20.4	18.8	1.61	16.9	16.3	0.59
Tayshaun Prince	57	57	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.24	25	-4	29	20.5	18.5	2.03	17.1	15.8	1.35
Rasheed Wallace	58	60	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.12	19	2	17	20.3	18.9	1.36	16.5	17.6	-1.10
Chauncey Billups	62	62	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.11	18	3	15	20.0	19.7	0.34	16.9	16.2	0.73
Corliss Williamson	32	33	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	25	-29	19.5	20.3	-0.84	16.8	16.7	0.12
Mike James	33	35	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	21	-21	18.2	21.2	-3.03	15.3	17.9	-2.62
Darvin Ham	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	22	-23	21.8	19.8	2.03	12.7	17.1	-4.42
Tremaine Fowlkes	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	23	-25	20.7	19.9	0.73	12.5	16.9	-4.36
Darko Milicic	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	22	-23	21.8	19.8	2.03	12.7	17.1	-4.42
Elden Campbell	19	19	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	24	-27	17.6	20.7	-3.15	17.5	16.5	1.03

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calvin Booth	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-22	23	12.7	17.1	-4.42	21.8	19.8	2.03
Jerome James	22	22	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.12	3	-24	27	17.0	16.6	0.35	18.5	20.6	-2.10
Richie Frahm	19	19	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.05	-3	-18	15	13.2	17.9	-4.73	18.5	20.4	-1.90
Luke Ridnour	46	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-20	19	17.1	16.2	0.87	21.2	18.2	3.03
Ansu Sesay	26	24	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-17	13	15.7	17.2	-1.51	21.0	19.5	1.50
Antonio Daniels	37	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.11	-11	-10	-1	18.3	15.4	2.87	19.7	20.2	-0.59
Reggie Evans	34	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.19	-14	-7	-7	18.2	15.6	2.56	21.3	18.9	2.41
Vladimir Radmanovic	63	61	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-15	9	16.2	18.8	-2.59	20.2	19.1	1.08
Rashard Lewis	62	63	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	-7	-7	16.9	16.2	0.73	19.7	20.9	-1.12
Vitaly Potapenko	33	33	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.31	-26	5	-31	16.8	16.7	0.12	18.8	20.8	-2.03
Ronald Murray	47	45	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.37	-30	9	-39	17.0	16.4	0.63	19.3	20.9	-1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.29,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 110, CHH 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
DEN 101, TOR 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
PHX 108, MIN 79	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.38,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%