NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	108		Excitement	2.7 [1240]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +9.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves	79		Comeback	1.0 [632]		LVP	Steven Hunter (PHX): -9.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.14	0.00	0.05	12	79%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.00	14	66%	0.09	1	-0.01	7	71%	-0.02
Steve Nash	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	13	54%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.08	16	44%	0.04	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	12	59%	0.02	3	-0.02	5	60%	-0.00
Bo Outlaw	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Shirley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	8	62%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.16	-0.01	-0.08	4	0%	-0.06	2	-0.03	4	0%	-0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.02	15	53%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	73%	0.02	3	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	9	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.05	10	70%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	14	43%	0.00	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.12	-0.00	-0.10	15	37%	0.02	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	12	27%	-0.04	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.8	28.3	15.5	23.2	1.7	24.3	117.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +30.8%

PHX +1.1%

PHX +5.6%

PHX +13.3%

MIN -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIN	NBA	PHX	MIN	NBA
this game	14.2	15.5	15.5	111.3	81.4	104.0
season	13.5	15.8		112.9	106.2
opponent	15.9	16.0		104.6	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	11.5	13.3	16.9	15.5	14.2
MIN	15.6	15.0	15.8	15.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	56	58	0.60	-0.10	0.69	-0.52	38	-9	47	12.8	16.0	-3.28	15.4	15.8	-0.43
Quentin Richardson	74	74	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.43	32	-3	35	14.4	13.5	0.89	15.3	16.3	-0.95
Shawn Marion	66	67	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.61	34	-5	39	13.5	15.5	-2.05	15.7	15.1	0.63
Amar'e Stoudemire	57	59	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.50	30	-1	31	13.4	15.2	-1.74	16.6	13.9	2.61
Joe Johnson	82	83	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.33	24	5	19	14.3	13.3	0.97	15.6	14.9	0.71
Steven Hunter	41	40	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.08	7	22	-15	14.2	14.1	0.07	14.7	16.1	-1.38
Bo Outlaw	26	25	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	40	-51	15.6	13.6	1.94	15.1	15.7	-0.61
Jake Voskuhl	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	30	-31	15.2	14.0	1.24	15.6	15.5	0.05
Paul Shirley	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	29	-29	15.5	14.1	1.43	13.3	15.7	-2.35
Smush Parker	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	30	-31	15.2	14.0	1.24	15.6	15.5	0.05
Jim Jackson	51	49	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.17	-7	36	-43	15.3	12.9	2.44	15.6	15.5	0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Hoiberg	51	52	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.14	-6	-23	17	15.8	15.2	0.65	15.4	12.8	2.61
John Thomas	15	16	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.01	-2	-27	25	14.9	15.7	-0.79	14.9	14.0	0.86
Anthony Carter	21	22	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.17	-8	-21	13	12.9	16.3	-3.36	15.8	13.7	2.15
Eddie Griffin	28	29	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-33	37	15.1	15.7	-0.60	13.8	14.3	-0.47
Troy Hudson	64	64	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.02	-7	-22	15	15.9	14.8	1.18	14.6	13.2	1.38
Wally Szczerbiak	72	73	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.15	-13	-16	3	15.2	16.5	-1.33	14.6	12.9	1.64
Michael Olowokandi	29	28	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.20	-15	-14	-1	15.6	15.5	0.02	13.1	14.6	-1.47
Sam Cassell	22	22	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.13	-13	-16	3	16.0	15.4	0.66	12.0	14.8	-2.79
Latrell Sprewell	66	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.08	-10	-19	9	16.0	14.6	1.31	14.1	14.3	-0.24
Trenton Hassell	47	46	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.65	-37	8	-45	15.8	15.3	0.53	13.3	14.9	-1.62
Kevin Garnett	70	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.63	-38	9	-47	15.7	15.2	0.43	13.6	15.6	-1.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.38,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 86, SEA 65	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.29,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
MIA 110, DAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
MIN 95, LAC 64	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%