NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	110		Excitement	2.3 [1212]		MVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): +12.4%
Charlotte Hornets	87		Comeback	1.0 [645]		LVP	Vlade Divac (CHH): -6.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0.12	0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.22	-0.00	0.09	25	70%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Ron Harper	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	7	57%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.03	12	61%	0.05	3	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Toni Kukoc	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.04	8	88%	0.05	3	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Robert Parish	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	2	0%	0.00	2	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	67%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	6	77%	-0.01	2	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Luc Longley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	2	100%	0.02	5	-0.07	2	100%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	11	59%	0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	13	47%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
George Zidek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	6	33%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	8	68%	-0.00	2	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	7	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.03	15	62%	0.04	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	0.04	8	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Goldwire	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	9	22%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	3	12%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.5	2.6	24.2	16.6	27.1	2.6	21.6	115.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +31.0%

CHI +5.1%

CHI +13.7%

CHH -1.7%

CHI +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CHH	NBA	CHI	CHH	NBA
this game	14.8	15.3	15.6	114.6	91.6	104.4
season	15.5	15.7		110.5	108.0
opponent	16.0	16.1		106.5	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.5	17.3	13.3	13.9	14.8
CHH	16.5	17.8	15.5	12.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Rodman	52	52	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.44	31	-8	39	15.6	13.9	1.66	17.0	13.3	3.78
Michael Jordan	53	52	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.55	34	-11	45	15.4	14.2	1.21	17.2	13.0	4.17
Scottie Pippen	64	63	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.45	29	-6	35	14.8	14.8	-0.02	16.3	13.5	2.80
Ron Harper	49	48	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.37	22	1	21	15.0	14.6	0.38	17.0	13.6	3.43
Toni Kukoc	51	52	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.22	2	21	-19	15.0	14.6	0.36	14.7	16.1	-1.49
Luc Longley	37	37	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.23	16	7	9	15.7	14.3	1.46	17.8	13.8	3.98
Jason Caffey	38	37	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.24	-1	24	-25	15.1	14.7	0.41	14.4	15.9	-1.60
Steve Kerr	49	48	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.15	11	12	-1	14.7	15.0	-0.24	14.4	16.3	-1.92
Robert Parish	15	14	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.14	5	18	-13	14.0	15.0	-0.99	13.2	15.7	-2.48
Randy Brown	33	33	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	35	-47	13.5	15.5	-1.96	11.8	17.2	-5.42
Jud Buechler	22	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.41	-14	37	-51	13.4	15.3	-1.91	11.5	16.5	-5.04
Bill Wennington	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	31	-39	12.8	15.3	-2.51	11.2	16.2	-4.98

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Zidek	36	37	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.27	9	-32	41	12.1	17.3	-5.13	13.6	15.6	-1.97
Tony Delk	39	39	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.15	5	-28	33	12.4	17.4	-4.95	13.7	15.6	-1.92
Malik Rose	44	46	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-26	29	12.7	17.6	-4.93	13.2	16.4	-3.23
Scott Burrell	33	34	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.30	6	-29	35	13.1	16.5	-3.38	14.3	15.1	-0.79
Anthony Goldwire	18	17	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.20	-12	-11	-1	17.4	14.8	2.61	15.8	14.6	1.20
Vlade Divac	35	35	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.15	-13	-10	-3	17.5	14.1	3.37	16.1	14.1	2.06
Dell Curry	40	40	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.35	-22	-1	-21	16.2	14.7	1.47	14.5	15.1	-0.61
Tony Smith	65	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-18	13	15.2	15.6	-0.35	14.9	14.8	0.07
Glen Rice	62	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.47	-29	6	-35	16.5	13.1	3.38	15.1	14.3	0.79
Matt Geiger	44	43	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.27	-25	2	-27	17.4	13.5	3.84	16.5	13.5	3.04
Anthony Mason	59	59	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.44	-32	9	-41	17.3	12.1	5.13	15.6	13.6	1.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 107, CHI 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
CLE 114, PHI 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
DET 86, SEA 65	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.29,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%