NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	114		Excitement	3.0 [1186]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): +5.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	85		Comeback	1.1 [981]		LVP	Michael Carter-Williams (PHI): -8.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	8	74%	0.07	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Dion Waiters	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	7	81%	0.09	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
CJ Miles	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	6	71%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Tyler Zeller	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	14	51%	0.05	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.00
Luol Deng	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	13	46%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	9	55%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Alonzo Gee	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	4	58%	0.00	3	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Earl Clark	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Bennett	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	9	53%	-0.00	2	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.11	0.00	-0.11	6	29%	-0.00	3	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Henry Sims	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.03	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	6	43%	0.01	4	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.05	7	71%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	9	45%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Lorenzo Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arnett Moultrie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.04	2	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	16	43%	-0.02	3	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Tony Wroten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.01	-0.05	13	39%	-0.04	4	-0.01	5	40%	-0.03
Evan Turner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	14	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.17	-0.00	-0.08	14	42%	0.01	7	-0.10	8	62%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.4	38.3	15.7	25.3	2.5	29.5	136.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +25.5%

CLE +16.1%

CLE +9.0%

PHI -2.4%

CLE +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHI	NBA	CLE	PHI	NBA
this game	15.1	14.0	15.1	115.2	85.9	105.2
season	15.2	13.7		102.8	98.4
opponent	15.0	15.3		108.4	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.3	11.6	19.1	15.2	15.1
PHI	13.5	15.1	14.5	13.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan Thompson	52	54	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.23	22	7	15	15.5	14.6	0.93	14.5	13.4	1.07
Luol Deng	56	57	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.17	19	10	9	15.5	14.5	0.93	14.5	13.5	1.00
Tyler Zeller	51	51	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.29	23	6	17	15.2	14.9	0.36	14.5	13.5	1.03
Kyrie Irving	48	50	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.36	24	5	19	15.6	14.5	1.06	14.8	13.2	1.56
Jarrett Jack	46	46	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.17	17	12	5	16.1	14.2	1.96	14.4	13.7	0.71
Dion Waiters	31	32	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.03	9	20	-11	12.5	16.2	-3.66	14.6	13.8	0.79
CJ Miles	27	26	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.18	10	19	-9	14.6	15.2	-0.64	14.8	13.7	1.11
Anthony Bennett	53	52	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.12	8	21	-13	14.3	15.9	-1.63	13.6	14.5	-0.91
Henry Sims	42	41	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.09	6	23	-17	15.3	14.9	0.35	13.3	14.5	-1.22
Matthew Dellavedova	45	43	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.03	2	27	-25	15.3	14.8	0.50	13.1	14.8	-1.70
Alonzo Gee	28	27	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.14	5	24	-19	14.7	15.2	-0.43	12.9	14.5	-1.62
Earl Clark	16	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	29	-29	14.4	15.2	-0.74	11.2	14.6	-3.39

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arnett Moultrie	35	34	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.01	1	-30	31	13.7	14.2	-0.49	14.4	15.4	-1.03
Lorenzo Brown	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-30	31	12.5	14.1	-1.63	14.0	15.1	-1.14
Tony Wroten	47	49	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.23	-12	-17	5	13.9	14.2	-0.26	15.0	15.1	-0.16
Lavoy Allen	52	52	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.13	-11	-18	7	13.5	14.6	-1.08	13.9	16.4	-2.48
Elliot Williams	49	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.27	-19	-10	-9	14.5	13.6	0.91	13.7	16.3	-2.54
Evan Turner	65	66	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.17	-16	-13	-3	13.7	14.7	-1.03	16.0	13.1	2.91
Thaddeus Young	49	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.31	-23	-6	-17	14.3	13.8	0.55	17.1	13.0	4.16
James Anderson	65	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.36	-25	-4	-21	14.3	13.6	0.72	15.1	15.0	0.05
Michael Carter-Williams	65	65	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.05	-16	-13	-3	14.0	14.0	0.00	15.2	14.8	0.41
Spencer Hawes	62	62	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.28	-25	-4	-21	14.4	13.4	1.04	14.8	15.6	-0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 110, CHH 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
SEA 138, VAN 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
SAS 103, ATL 78	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%