NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	103		Excitement	2.3 [1278]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (SAS): +5.0%
Atlanta Hawks	78		Comeback	1.1 [911]		LVP	Jeff Teague (ATL): -10.5%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	0.00	0.06	13	67%	0.08	2	-0.03	7	100%	0.02
Jonathon Simmons	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	64%	0.05	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.00	0.04	7	89%	0.10	4	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00
Tony Parker	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	7	41%	0.01	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	8	62%	0.04	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	9	62%	0.01	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	-0.03	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter Tavares	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	8	31%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.11	-0.00	0.13	13	76%	0.01	3	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	11	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	7	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Lamar Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	42%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	10	27%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.00	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	6	42%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.14	-0.00	-0.04	5	29%	-0.02	5	-0.08	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.8	29.2	15.4	24.5	2.5	28.5	125.6
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +36.5%

SAS +5.0%

SAS +10.8%

ATL -3.8%

SAS +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	ATL	NBA	SAS	ATL	NBA
this game	15.8	13.5	14.9	104.0	80.4	105.1
season	15.7	14.2		109.0	104.1
opponent	15.1	14.7		100.3	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.7	15.0	15.3	16.5	15.8
ATL	12.8	14.4	14.1	12.8	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kawhi Leonard	65	65	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.48	36	-11	47	15.9	15.7	0.17	14.0	12.6	1.42
LaMarcus Aldridge	54	55	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.22	22	3	19	16.6	15.0	1.56	13.9	13.0	0.87
Tim Duncan	64	62	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.40	28	-3	31	15.8	15.9	-0.10	13.8	13.1	0.72
Tony Parker	48	48	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.28	23	2	21	16.5	15.2	1.26	13.7	13.3	0.38
Jonathon Simmons	42	38	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.02	6	19	-13	15.2	16.4	-1.18	13.8	13.3	0.49
Manu Ginobili	41	41	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	20	-15	13.6	17.4	-3.82	13.1	13.8	-0.64
Patty Mills	51	49	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	23	-21	15.2	16.5	-1.26	13.3	13.7	-0.38
Boris Diaw	31	30	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	22	-19	13.7	16.8	-3.11	13.4	13.6	-0.17
Danny Green	43	42	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	23	-21	16.9	15.1	1.79	12.9	14.0	-1.12
David West	27	26	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.23	-6	31	-37	13.2	16.8	-3.61	12.5	13.9	-1.33
Rasual Butler	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	23	-21	20.5	15.2	5.31	12.9	13.6	-0.68
Matt Bonner	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	24	-23	23.0	15.2	7.78	13.5	13.5	-0.02
Kyle Anderson	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	24	-23	23.0	15.2	7.78	13.5	13.5	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Holiday	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-23	21	12.9	13.6	-0.68	20.5	15.2	5.31
Walter Tavares	13	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-23	21	12.9	13.6	-0.68	20.5	15.2	5.31
Shelvin Mack	12	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-22	19	13.5	13.5	-0.02	20.5	15.2	5.31
Lamar Patterson	34	35	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-28	31	13.4	13.6	-0.16	15.2	16.2	-0.96
Dennis Schroder	40	43	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-25	25	13.2	13.7	-0.54	14.6	16.8	-2.24
Mike Muscala	39	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-22	19	13.4	13.6	-0.22	15.7	15.9	-0.26
Tiago Splitter	30	31	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-22	19	13.7	13.4	0.27	14.3	16.5	-2.22
Kyle Korver	52	53	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.11	-10	-15	5	13.2	13.9	-0.74	16.2	15.5	0.65
Al Horford	53	55	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.17	-14	-11	-3	13.2	13.9	-0.76	16.1	15.6	0.50
Kent Bazemore	51	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.19	-19	-6	-13	13.7	13.3	0.36	14.2	17.6	-3.49
Thabo Sefolosha	40	41	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.15	-20	-5	-15	14.0	13.2	0.87	16.6	15.3	1.22
Jeff Teague	49	48	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.25	-24	-1	-23	13.8	13.2	0.53	15.8	15.9	-0.11
Paul Millsap	59	60	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.28	-28	3	-31	13.9	12.8	1.11	15.5	16.3	-0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 111, MIL 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
CLE 114, PHI 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
SEA 138, VAN 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%