NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	111		Excitement	2.6 [1245]		MVP	Matt Barnes (LAC): +7.4%
Milwaukee Bucks	85		Comeback	1.1 [1052]		LVP	Brandon Jennings (MIL): -12.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.14	0.00	0.07	10	81%	0.09	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Blake Griffin	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.00	0.04	12	62%	0.06	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Chris Paul	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.00	-0.05	10	48%	0.06	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	5	67%	0.06	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	10	62%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03
Lamar Odom	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.10	0.00	0.09	5	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	44%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Hollins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	44%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	9	40%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	46%	-0.01	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	7	69%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	5	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	6	57%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joel Przybilla	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.06	13	57%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Larry Sanders	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	6	42%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	0.02	14	37%	-0.06	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Doron Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.15	-0.00	-0.07	11	29%	-0.08	3	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.00	-0.02	13	32%	-0.07	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.2	30.5	15.4	24.5	2.3	28.4	127.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +36.2%

LAC +3.5%

LAC +6.5%

LAC +2.4%

LAC +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIL	NBA	LAC	MIL	NBA
this game	15.5	15.6	15.4	120.7	91.4	104.1
season	15.6	14.7		109.0	101.6
opponent	15.3	15.7		103.9	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.6	12.4	16.8	16.8	15.5
MIL	17.7	15.3	15.2	14.5	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeAndre Jordan	48	48	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.05	14	12	2	16.4	14.5	1.91	15.3	15.9	-0.58
Blake Griffin	51	51	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.05	14	12	2	16.3	14.6	1.69	16.0	15.2	0.77
Caron Butler	43	42	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.04	13	13	0	16.3	14.8	1.55	15.6	15.6	-0.08
Chris Paul	49	50	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.21	18	8	10	16.4	14.5	1.85	15.3	15.9	-0.59
Willie Green	41	42	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.04	10	16	-6	16.5	14.7	1.74	15.2	16.0	-0.77
Matt Barnes	55	57	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.24	16	10	6	14.4	17.2	-2.83	15.4	16.0	-0.59
Jamal Crawford	51	52	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.23	14	12	2	15.4	15.7	-0.33	15.6	15.6	-0.04
Eric Bledsoe	37	36	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.03	7	19	-12	14.2	16.4	-2.14	16.9	14.8	2.13
Ronny Turiaf	34	34	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.10	8	18	-10	14.6	16.1	-1.43	16.0	15.4	0.61
Lamar Odom	44	45	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.21	12	14	-2	14.5	16.4	-1.91	15.9	15.3	0.58
Ryan Hollins	7	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	22	-18	14.4	15.6	-1.18	11.7	16.0	-4.23

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Przybilla	15	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-21	16	13.7	16.0	-2.32	15.9	15.5	0.40
John Henson	25	24	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.13	-7	-19	12	14.2	16.1	-1.88	16.0	15.4	0.65
Ekpe Udoh	40	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-23	20	15.8	15.5	0.33	15.9	15.3	0.61
Doron Lamb	53	51	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.19	-10	-16	6	15.1	16.3	-1.29	15.5	15.5	-0.03
Drew Gooden	27	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.16	-9	-17	8	13.7	16.4	-2.64	14.9	15.8	-0.83
Luc Mbah a Moute	47	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	-21	16	16.7	14.5	2.20	15.8	15.2	0.59
Ersan Ilyasova	38	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.06	-9	-17	8	16.2	15.2	0.92	14.1	16.5	-2.46
Larry Sanders	32	33	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.11	-15	-11	-4	16.7	15.0	1.73	15.8	15.4	0.41
Brandon Jennings	59	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.12	-17	-9	-8	16.0	14.9	1.15	15.3	15.9	-0.64
Marquis Daniels	70	69	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.37	-30	4	-34	15.2	17.0	-1.79	15.9	14.5	1.33
Monta Ellis	59	59	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.07	-20	-6	-14	16.2	14.6	1.57	15.7	15.2	0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 103, ATL 78	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
CHI 100, ORL 76	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.46,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
TOR 117, NYK 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.35,0.33,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.37,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.7%