inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 103 Excitement4.0 [1009] MVPBoris Diaw (SAS): +12.4%
Indiana Pacers 77 Comeback1.1 [986] LVPTim Duncan (SAS): -9.5%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Boris Diaw0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.110.030.02878%0.1200.002100%0.00
Patty Mills0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.010.01583%0.0900.002100%0.01
Tony Parker0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.01-0.001858%0.111-0.022100%0.01
Kawhi Leonard0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.060.010.02965%0.061-0.02250%-0.01
Tiago Splitter0.040,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.02-0.00556%0.061-0.02683%0.01
Danny Green0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00550%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jeff Ayres0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.06286%0.0000.00367%0.00
Cory Joseph0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Austin Daye-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.0220%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.01643%0.012-0.042100%0.01
Marco Belinelli-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.00-0.020.05744%-0.0600.002100%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.100,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.09-0.000.001037%-0.043-0.06475%-0.00

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lance Stephenson0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.03-0.01-0.011358%0.062-0.0200%0.00
Rasual Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.010.03387%0.051-0.022100%0.00
Ian Mahinmi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.01-0.001100%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Solomon Hill00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Copeland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0400%0.0020.0000%0.00
Lavoy Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
George Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.03-0.010.02658%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Donald Sloan0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.03629%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Evan Turner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Roy Hibbert0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.000.031347%-0.021-0.02683%0.01
Luis Scola0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.010.00617%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Paul George0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.09-0.02-0.031347%0.035-0.11862%-0.03
David West0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.010.01644%-0.023-0.07475%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.32.731.215.525.42.529.5129.0
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +26.6%
SAS +6.9%
SAS +4.7%
SAS +10.5%
SAS +1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASINDNBASASINDNBA
this game15.918.015.1121.290.6105.2
season15.015.8109.8102.7
opponent15.215.099.0101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.016.916.415.515.9
IND18.519.116.418.018.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Parker57600.410.090.32-0.232241815.816.2-0.4618.816.02.86
Kawhi Leonard65660.410.090.31-0.151971215.915.90.0117.619.4-1.79
Tiago Splitter55580.380.120.260.031214-215.616.4-0.7618.716.52.19
Manu Ginobili29310.360.140.22-0.051412216.015.80.2017.018.6-1.59
Boris Diaw45440.320.180.14-0.091412216.315.40.8617.918.0-0.09
Tim Duncan52530.310.190.13-0.221881016.015.80.1418.816.62.17
Marco Belinelli35350.200.30-0.10-0.181313015.616.1-0.4719.816.73.10
Patty Mills26220.090.41-0.32-0.03422-1816.715.61.0816.318.6-2.24
Danny Green35340.030.47-0.43-0.02224-2215.915.9-0.0818.417.70.63
Jeff Ayres870.000.50-0.50-0.12422-1815.515.9-0.4513.318.4-5.11
Cory Joseph870.000.50-0.50-0.12422-1815.515.9-0.4513.318.4-5.11
Austin Daye108-0.010.51-0.53-0.13422-1815.615.9-0.3511.918.6-6.74

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Solomon Hill780.00-0.500.500.12-4-221813.318.4-5.1115.515.9-0.45
Chris Copeland780.00-0.500.500.12-4-221813.318.4-5.1115.515.9-0.45
Lavoy Allen780.00-0.500.500.12-4-221813.318.4-5.1115.515.9-0.45
Donald Sloan2022-0.14-0.360.220.06-7-191215.518.7-3.1716.315.80.56
Ian Mahinmi1820-0.14-0.360.21-0.03-4-221818.417.90.5915.915.9-0.01
Evan Turner1113-0.17-0.330.150.06-8-181018.018.00.0316.015.90.11
Rasual Butler3639-0.20-0.300.100.06-9-17819.017.21.8216.115.80.27
David West5352-0.22-0.280.050.13-12-14217.019.7-2.6915.716.2-0.45
Lance Stephenson5147-0.25-0.250.000.10-12-14218.417.31.0915.915.90.02
Luis Scola2525-0.28-0.22-0.050.02-10-16621.416.54.9116.415.70.70
Roy Hibbert6057-0.36-0.14-0.210.17-18-8-1018.417.01.3816.015.80.18
George Hill6563-0.36-0.14-0.220.20-19-7-1218.715.53.1715.816.3-0.56
Paul George6563-0.38-0.12-0.250.18-19-7-1217.619.3-1.8015.816.1-0.25


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.16,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.13,0.22,0.14,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 112, DET 950.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,095.6%
MIN 110, DEN 920.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.6%
DET 95, MIA 810.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.3%