NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	83		Excitement	8.2 [217]		MVP	LeBron James (MIA): +29.4%
Indiana Pacers	84		Comeback	4.9 [285]		LVP	Chris Bosh (MIA): -30.7%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.29	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.32,0.3,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.5,0.5,0.41,0.29,0.29	0.15	0.06	-0.09	19	72%	0.40	6	-0.10	15	93%	0.07
Rashard Lewis	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.08	0.00	2	83%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Chris Andersen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Oden	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.08	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.07	0.01	11	54%	0.14	6	-0.16	6	50%	0.02
Udonis Haslem	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.22,-0.22	-0.15	-0.09	-0.01	10	21%	-0.07	2	-0.15	4	25%	-0.04
Chris Bosh	-0.31	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.31	-0.05	-0.22	0.04	11	36%	-0.27	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.13	0.13	-0.01	0.12	-0.02	11	46%	0.17	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.00	12	62%	0.17	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	-0.01	19	55%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.02	-0.04	15	54%	0.16	2	-0.07	9	78%	0.04
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.04	0.08	-0.01	10	40%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	5	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.26	-0.26	-0.09	-0.11	0.05	4	20%	-0.19	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.5	35.4	17.8	31.2	3.4	46.3	162.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +7.8%

MIA -12.8%

IND +20.4%

IND +22.2%

IND +12.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	IND	NBA	MIA	IND	NBA
this game	14.4	18.3	15.1	94.3	95.5	105.2
season	15.6	15.8		109.7	102.7
opponent	15.2	15.8		99.0	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	14.2	12.4	14.2	17.0	14.4
IND	17.9	18.1	19.2	18.1	18.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toney Douglas	7	8	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.03	7	-8	15	12.9	14.5	-1.69	16.4	18.5	-2.14
Chris Andersen	34	37	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-1	1	15.1	14.0	1.11	16.2	19.8	-3.58
Greg Oden	12	11	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.07	-6	5	-11	14.8	14.3	0.49	18.7	18.3	0.47
Rashard Lewis	42	44	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.21	3	-4	7	15.0	13.9	1.13	18.2	18.4	-0.23
Dwyane Wade	58	58	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.13	-10	9	-19	14.1	15.0	-0.95	19.0	17.0	2.05
Udonis Haslem	37	36	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.39	4	-5	9	14.5	14.4	0.09	19.9	17.2	2.75
LeBron James	80	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.49	2	-3	5	14.2	16.0	-1.75	18.3	18.6	-0.26
Mario Chalmers	71	72	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.48	0	-1	1	15.0	12.1	2.84	18.6	17.1	1.53
Chris Bosh	51	48	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.46	-3	2	-5	13.3	15.9	-2.56	18.7	17.8	0.86
Norris Cole	48	47	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.54	-2	1	-3	14.5	14.3	0.15	17.4	19.4	-1.96

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roy Hibbert	63	64	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.54	3	-2	5	18.8	17.0	1.84	14.4	14.4	-0.01
George Hill	74	75	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.51	0	1	-1	18.5	17.6	0.89	14.4	14.3	0.12
Paul George	75	76	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.45	2	-1	3	18.3	18.4	-0.08	14.7	12.4	2.31
Lance Stephenson	62	62	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.21	8	-7	15	19.0	16.8	2.14	13.9	15.7	-1.82
David West	67	67	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.49	-4	5	-9	18.6	17.3	1.29	13.9	16.0	-2.03
Luis Scola	21	21	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.02	5	-4	9	17.3	18.6	-1.29	16.0	13.9	2.03
Evan Turner	39	38	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.29	-8	9	-17	17.3	19.1	-1.77	14.7	14.2	0.44
Donald Sloan	14	13	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	0	1	17.6	18.5	-0.89	14.3	14.4	-0.12
Ian Mahinmi	28	27	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	0	1	16.8	19.0	-2.20	14.7	14.3	0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.58,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.59,0.67,0.45,0.21,0.31,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 100, UTA 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.48,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.79,0.8,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.52,0.37,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.57,0.77,1	89.7%
CHA 93, NYK 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.72,0.77,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.41,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.41,0.53,0.4,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.85,1	89.2%
LAC 99, GSW 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.5,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.28,0.22,0.3,0.19,0.42,0.42,0.59,0.71,0.54,0.38,0.46,0.55,0.98,1	89.2%