NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	99		Excitement	7.7 [292]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +45.1%
Golden State Warriors	106		Comeback	5.2 [173]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAC): -23.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caron Butler	0.19	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.06	0.01	12	73%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.18,0.18	0.14	0.03	-0.01	18	67%	0.21	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.02	0.10	-0.00	5	70%	0.16	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	8	45%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Blake Griffin	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.05,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.06	-0.02	18	62%	0.25	5	-0.24	6	67%	-0.01
Willie Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ronny Turiaf	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Chris Paul	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	7	24%	-0.14	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.23	-0.11	-0.12	0.01	9	20%	-0.18	1	-0.05	2	0%	-0.07

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.44,0.45	0.45	0.22	0.28	0.05	14	87%	0.53	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.00	4	112%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	0.01	13	62%	0.14	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.03
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	78%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	87%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	15	53%	0.11	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.04
Andris Biedrins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Tyler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.07	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
David Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.16	-0.08	-0.04	16	35%	-0.04	5	-0.16	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.6	32.2	15.6	24.2	1.5	37.4	139.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +47.5%

GSW +11.1%

LAC -3.0%

LAC -3.6%

LAC -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	GSW	NBA	LAC	GSW	NBA
this game	15.1	14.7	15.4	102.1	110.4	104.1
season	15.6	14.6		109.0	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.7		103.7	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.9	15.5	14.1	15.9	15.1
GSW	14.5	14.5	17.2	12.9	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caron Butler	49	49	0.41	-0.91	1.32	-0.03	15	-22	37	14.4	15.9	-1.47	16.7	12.7	4.01
DeAndre Jordan	40	40	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.07	4	-11	15	15.3	14.9	0.40	16.2	13.7	2.48
Blake Griffin	79	81	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.35	13	-20	33	15.1	15.2	-0.13	15.3	11.7	3.55
Willie Green	26	25	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-5	3	15.8	14.8	1.00	16.6	14.1	2.53
Chris Paul	65	66	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.34	4	-11	15	15.0	15.2	-0.20	15.3	13.4	1.93
Lamar Odom	50	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.02	-11	4	-15	14.4	15.9	-1.55	13.3	16.1	-2.80
Jamal Crawford	68	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-3	-1	15.1	15.2	-0.08	14.3	15.7	-1.44
Ronny Turiaf	16	15	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.01	-18	11	-29	16.9	14.8	2.18	11.7	15.3	-3.55
Eric Bledsoe	44	42	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.11	-14	7	-21	15.0	15.2	-0.17	13.1	16.0	-2.90
Matt Barnes	48	47	-0.95	0.45	-1.41	-0.31	-22	15	-37	15.7	14.6	1.14	13.1	16.3	-3.18

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Lee	76	76	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.41	14	-7	21	15.1	13.4	1.68	15.9	12.2	3.73
Klay Thompson	77	76	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.47	8	-1	9	14.9	14.2	0.71	15.4	14.0	1.48
Stephen Curry	73	73	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.52	6	1	5	15.2	13.4	1.76	15.3	14.6	0.65
Jarrett Jack	67	67	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.19	8	-1	9	14.1	16.1	-1.97	15.1	15.2	-0.13
Carl Landry	48	50	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	4	-1	13.9	15.5	-1.62	15.3	14.9	0.39
Harrison Barnes	32	32	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.12	-1	8	-9	15.4	14.4	0.97	15.0	15.2	-0.22
Festus Ezeli	27	25	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.24	-6	13	-19	16.9	13.9	3.06	16.0	14.8	1.25
Kent Bazemore	1	1	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.01	1	6	-5	0.0	14.9	-14.88	6.0	15.2	-9.21
Jeremy Tyler	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	7	-7	0.0	14.7	-14.73	6.0	15.2	-9.21
Draymond Green	25	26	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.17	1	6	-5	13.1	15.3	-2.18	13.9	15.5	-1.63
Richard Jefferson	24	27	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.31	4	3	1	12.9	15.3	-2.42	13.9	15.6	-1.70
Andris Biedrins	30	31	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.13	-3	10	-13	15.7	14.3	1.41	13.8	15.7	-1.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.64,0.5,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.28,0.22,0.3,0.19,0.42,0.42,0.59,0.71,0.54,0.38,0.46,0.55,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 106, MIN 110	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.67,0.64,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.45,0.55,0.76,0.85,1	89.2%
MIA 83, IND 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.58,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.59,0.67,0.45,0.21,0.31,0.73,1	89.2%
UTA 90, ORL 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.47,0.69,0.63,0.77,0.74,1	88.9%