inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 90 Excitement9.0 [116] MVPPat Garrity (ORL): +49.5%
Orlando Magic 98 Comeback2.4 [368] LVPAndrei Kirilenko (UTA): -24.8%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
John Stockton0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.040.04-0.03753%0.112-0.07580%0.02
Greg Ostertag0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Donyell Marshall0.000,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0,0,00.04-0.030.011959%0.052-0.043100%0.03
John Crotty-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01-0.030.030.01471%0.053-0.056100%0.08
Jarron Collins-0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.01333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
John Starks-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0020%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.01450%0.023-0.0800%0.00
John Amaechi-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.030.0020%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Scott Padgett-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.040.00125%-0.051-0.04250%-0.02
Karl Malone-0.140,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.14-0.07-0.08-0.022549%-0.074-0.07786%0.05
Andrei Kirilenko-0.250,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.14,-0.25,-0.25-0.09-0.16-0.00836%-0.2500.00978%-0.01

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Pat Garrity0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.28,0.28,0.38,0.29,0.50.500.140.360.001080%0.5000.0000%0.00
Darrell Armstrong0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.090.030.021763%0.131-0.034100%0.00
Jud Buechler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.040.00275%0.0600.0000%0.00
Andrew DeClercq0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.01-0.02450%0.021-0.03250%-0.02
Monty Williams0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00633%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Patrick Ewing0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.01950%0.012-0.05425%-0.06
Horace Grant0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.03-0.00933%-0.052-0.0500%0.00
Mike Miller0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.1,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.12-0.03-0.011851%0.057-0.185100%0.05
Troy Hudson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15-0.15-0.12-0.020.01933%-0.092-0.06667%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.62.624.216.629.12.535.4132.0
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +104.8%
UTA -55.4%
ORL +9.5%
UTA -2.3%
UTA -6.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTAORLNBAUTAORLNBA
this game16.114.715.694.7106.5102.3
season16.114.6102.9104.6
opponent15.815.1103.3101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA16.018.914.416.016.1
ORL13.418.014.413.414.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Scott Padgett11100.08-0.580.660.022-101212.516.6-4.0511.915.0-3.09
DeShawn Stevenson57530.08-0.580.66-0.013-111415.117.6-2.5113.516.2-2.61
John Amaechi660.04-0.540.580.011-91013.816.3-2.4518.514.44.12
John Starks1314-0.10-0.400.31-0.01-3-5221.315.36.0017.814.13.70
Jarron Collins3635-0.14-0.360.22-0.02-4-4017.415.41.9914.015.0-1.01
Greg Ostertag2221-0.24-0.260.01-0.04-7-1-618.815.33.5016.314.22.12
Karl Malone8379-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.23-1-7615.222.3-7.1014.416.4-2.02
Andrei Kirilenko5453-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.24-4-4015.117.5-2.3514.814.40.46
John Crotty5048-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.16-91-1016.316.00.2813.815.5-1.71
Donyell Marshall7978-0.590.09-0.68-0.30-102-1216.912.14.8915.012.72.29
John Stockton6463-0.600.10-0.70-0.36-80-816.116.2-0.1515.113.61.56

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darrell Armstrong71730.69-0.190.880.3113-51814.415.6-1.1916.415.21.17
Troy Hudson50520.55-0.050.600.1713-51814.215.2-0.9516.016.3-0.28
Patrick Ewing33330.390.110.290.139-11016.513.62.8118.115.12.96
Horace Grant73780.330.170.170.1953214.116.8-2.6915.419.6-4.29
Pat Garrity40400.250.25-0.000.2217-614.514.7-0.2315.216.8-1.60
Mike Miller76770.210.29-0.080.24-19-1015.012.82.2315.916.9-1.01
Andrew DeClercq38390.040.46-0.420.0117-614.314.9-0.6217.015.51.44
Monty Williams53540.020.48-0.460.0208-815.513.52.0215.916.4-0.42
Jud Buechler26290.020.48-0.460.05-19-1013.315.2-1.8216.516.00.56


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.48,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.47,0.69,0.63,0.77,0.74,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 102, NOK 1070.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.68,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.71,0.72,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.46,0.34,0.48,0.57,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.54,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.92,191.9%
DEN 68, CHI 700.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.58,0.66,0.59,0.5,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.38,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.84,191.4%
ATL 91, DET 930.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.52,0.67,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.69,0.54,0.78,0.95,191.3%