inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 119 Excitement13.9 [8] MVPKevin Durant (OKC): +111.4%
Toronto Raptors 118 Comeback383.6 [4] LVPJohn Salmons (TOR): -33.3%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant1.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.1,-0.01,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.35,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.52,1.110.171.000.053261%1.255-0.141974%0.00
Reggie Jackson0.280,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.41,0.35,0.4,0.28,0.28,0.280.070.21-0.001562%0.403-0.1210100%0.18
Serge Ibaka0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.020.070.011542%0.061-0.031100%0.01
Andre Roberson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Hasheem Thabeet0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Russell Westbrook-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.020.001350%0.063-0.074100%0.03
Steven Adams-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Nick Collison-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.030.00250%-0.011-0.04250%-0.01
Caron Butler-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.09-0.01-0.02920%-0.0700.00250%-0.03
Jeremy Lamb-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.02-0.110.0010%-0.1300.0000%0.00
Derek Fisher-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.15-0.01-0.140.00944%-0.091-0.0600%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Greivis Vasquez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.540.540.190.350.001195%0.561-0.0200%0.00
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.340.340.090.25-0.011661%0.402-0.06989%0.03
Amir Johnson0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.04,0.04,0.22,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.060.160.011962%0.423-0.21250%-0.05
Steve Novak00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,-0.02-0.020.00-0.010.012353%0.236-0.251694%0.14
Nando De Colo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Tyler Hansbrough0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.010.00533%0.002-0.082100%0.01
Terrence Ross0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.11-0.02-0.01911%-0.1200.0000%0.00
Jonas Valanciunas0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.25,-0.25-0.25-0.09-0.160.001133%-0.122-0.132100%0.01
John Salmons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.33-0.33-0.12-0.200.0140%-0.172-0.1620%-0.10
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2Total
this game24.10.831.715.731.52.637.02.623.31.524.4195.2
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.41.917.61.917.6136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +20.9%
OKC +6.2%
TOR -10.8%
OKC +49.8%
TOR -16.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCTORNBAOKCTORNBA
this game14.415.215.1100.8100.9105.2
season14.415.9107.8107.2
opponent15.115.4104.2102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
OKC13.713.514.317.813.014.4
TOR15.614.216.416.513.615.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nick Collison36390.97-0.471.450.748-71515.114.11.0415.615.00.58
Kevin Durant1081070.58-0.080.650.464-3714.216.9-2.7415.017.5-2.48
Derek Fisher69690.350.150.200.53-67-1314.813.80.9815.215.3-0.14
Reggie Jackson81810.350.150.190.41-23-515.013.01.9915.614.31.34
Caron Butler66690.290.210.080.2610116.212.14.0715.614.70.82
Hasheem Thabeet1090.200.30-0.090.142-1318.014.13.9417.115.12.04
Russell Westbrook44420.130.37-0.240.072-1312.715.4-2.7214.315.7-1.44
Steven Adams40390.050.45-0.40-0.012-1313.115.1-1.9514.615.5-0.88
Andre Roberson30290.040.46-0.410.0110113.314.7-1.4215.715.10.66
Serge Ibaka8178-0.290.79-1.08-0.15-56-1114.314.5-0.1415.414.90.46
Jeremy Lamb1312-0.671.17-1.84-0.58-34-711.314.8-3.4613.715.4-1.65

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Greivis Vasquez61610.50-1.001.500.249-101914.915.6-0.7616.012.63.40
Steve Novak250.25-0.751.000.134-592.515.5-12.956.814.7-7.93
Nando De Colo1414-0.15-0.350.20-0.12-10-116.915.01.8512.214.7-2.47
Tyler Hansbrough4240-0.21-0.290.08-0.12-32-515.315.20.1214.514.30.20
Terrence Ross4648-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.12-54-914.615.6-1.0312.915.4-2.59
Amir Johnson98100-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.352-3515.514.11.4114.812.02.82
Kyle Lowry9697-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.341-2314.916.7-1.8113.916.8-2.94
DeMar DeRozan9699-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.513-4715.613.52.0814.712.81.84
Jonas Valanciunas9290-0.590.09-0.67-0.44-54-915.215.2-0.0114.414.20.18
John Salmons3836-1.020.52-1.53-0.72-109-1915.814.90.9114.714.30.44


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.55,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.34,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.1,0.54,0.67,0.41,0.54,0.39,0.55,0.33,0.15,0.46,0.68,0.71,0.91,0.99,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 96, OKC 890.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.58,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.55,0.42,0.54,0.31,0.55,0.16,0,085.0%
DET 99, LAC 960.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.23,0.58,0.5,0.55,0.45,0.23,0.42,0.54,0.32,0.54,0.67,0.72,084.9%
NJN 98, CLE 940.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.66,0.42,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.32,0.27,084.0%