NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	119		Excitement	13.9 [8]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +111.4%
Toronto Raptors	118		Comeback	383.6 [4]		LVP	John Salmons (TOR): -33.3%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	1.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.1,-0.01,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.35,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.52,1.11	0.17	1.00	0.05	32	61%	1.25	5	-0.14	19	74%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.41,0.35,0.4,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.07	0.21	-0.00	15	62%	0.40	3	-0.12	10	100%	0.18
Serge Ibaka	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.07	0.01	15	42%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Andre Roberson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	13	50%	0.06	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Steven Adams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Caron Butler	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	9	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Jeremy Lamb	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.02	-0.11	0.00	1	0%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.15	-0.01	-0.14	0.00	9	44%	-0.09	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54	0.54	0.19	0.35	0.00	11	95%	0.56	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.34	0.34	0.09	0.25	-0.01	16	61%	0.40	2	-0.06	9	89%	0.03
Amir Johnson	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.04,0.04,0.22,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.06	0.16	0.01	19	62%	0.42	3	-0.21	2	50%	-0.05
Steve Novak	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	23	53%	0.23	6	-0.25	16	94%	0.14
Nando De Colo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	33%	0.00	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	9	11%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.09	-0.16	0.00	11	33%	-0.12	2	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.33	-0.33	-0.12	-0.20	0.01	4	0%	-0.17	2	-0.16	2	0%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	24.1	0.8	31.7	15.7	31.5	2.6	37.0	2.6	23.3	1.5	24.4	195.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	1.9	17.6	1.9	17.6	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +20.9%

OKC +6.2%

TOR -10.8%

OKC +49.8%

TOR -16.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	TOR	NBA	OKC	TOR	NBA
this game	14.4	15.2	15.1	100.8	100.9	105.2
season	14.4	15.9		107.8	107.2
opponent	15.1	15.4		104.2	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
OKC	13.7	13.5	14.3	17.8	13.0	14.4
TOR	15.6	14.2	16.4	16.5	13.6	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	36	39	0.97	-0.47	1.45	0.74	8	-7	15	15.1	14.1	1.04	15.6	15.0	0.58
Kevin Durant	108	107	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.46	4	-3	7	14.2	16.9	-2.74	15.0	17.5	-2.48
Derek Fisher	69	69	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.53	-6	7	-13	14.8	13.8	0.98	15.2	15.3	-0.14
Reggie Jackson	81	81	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.41	-2	3	-5	15.0	13.0	1.99	15.6	14.3	1.34
Caron Butler	66	69	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.26	1	0	1	16.2	12.1	4.07	15.6	14.7	0.82
Hasheem Thabeet	10	9	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.14	2	-1	3	18.0	14.1	3.94	17.1	15.1	2.04
Russell Westbrook	44	42	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	-1	3	12.7	15.4	-2.72	14.3	15.7	-1.44
Steven Adams	40	39	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	-1	3	13.1	15.1	-1.95	14.6	15.5	-0.88
Andre Roberson	30	29	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.01	1	0	1	13.3	14.7	-1.42	15.7	15.1	0.66
Serge Ibaka	81	78	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.15	-5	6	-11	14.3	14.5	-0.14	15.4	14.9	0.46
Jeremy Lamb	13	12	-0.67	1.17	-1.84	-0.58	-3	4	-7	11.3	14.8	-3.46	13.7	15.4	-1.65

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greivis Vasquez	61	61	0.50	-1.00	1.50	0.24	9	-10	19	14.9	15.6	-0.76	16.0	12.6	3.40
Steve Novak	2	5	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.13	4	-5	9	2.5	15.5	-12.95	6.8	14.7	-7.93
Nando De Colo	14	14	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	0	-1	16.9	15.0	1.85	12.2	14.7	-2.47
Tyler Hansbrough	42	40	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	2	-5	15.3	15.2	0.12	14.5	14.3	0.20
Terrence Ross	46	48	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.12	-5	4	-9	14.6	15.6	-1.03	12.9	15.4	-2.59
Amir Johnson	98	100	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.35	2	-3	5	15.5	14.1	1.41	14.8	12.0	2.82
Kyle Lowry	96	97	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-2	3	14.9	16.7	-1.81	13.9	16.8	-2.94
DeMar DeRozan	96	99	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.51	3	-4	7	15.6	13.5	2.08	14.7	12.8	1.84
Jonas Valanciunas	92	90	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.44	-5	4	-9	15.2	15.2	-0.01	14.4	14.2	0.18
John Salmons	38	36	-1.02	0.52	-1.53	-0.72	-10	9	-19	15.8	14.9	0.91	14.7	14.3	0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.55,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.34,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.1,0.54,0.67,0.41,0.54,0.39,0.55,0.33,0.15,0.46,0.68,0.71,0.91,0.99,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 96, OKC 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.58,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.55,0.42,0.54,0.31,0.55,0.16,0,0	85.0%
DET 99, LAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.23,0.58,0.5,0.55,0.45,0.23,0.42,0.54,0.32,0.54,0.67,0.72,0	84.9%
NJN 98, CLE 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.66,0.42,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.32,0.27,0	84.0%