NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	99		Excitement	13.9 [4]		MVP	Ben Wallace (DET): +13.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	96		Comeback	8.8 [111]		LVP	Marko Jaric (LAC): -64.8%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Wallace	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.14	-0.05	0.19	-0.00	9	52%	0.16	1	-0.02	11	45%	-0.13
Chauncey Billups	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.12	-0.01	0.13	-0.00	10	67%	0.23	4	-0.11	10	100%	0.20
Lindsey Hunter	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.04	-0.03	5	57%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Elden Campbell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.14	-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	10	48%	0.00	2	-0.14	1	0%	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	-0.24	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.24	-0.04	-0.20	0.01	19	47%	-0.09	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.37	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.06,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37	-0.17	-0.20	-0.00	26	36%	-0.00	3	-0.36	4	50%	-0.04

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06	0.06	-0.06	0.10	-0.02	13	61%	0.19	5	-0.13	15	87%	0.03
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.06	-0.00	14	65%	0.18	4	-0.12	9	44%	-0.10
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.15	-0.05	-0.00	6	7%	-0.12	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Bobby Simmons	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.32	-0.32	-0.10	-0.22	-0.00	10	39%	-0.05	3	-0.27	3	67%	-0.02
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.2,-0.26,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.46,-0.46	-0.46	-0.07	-0.37	0.02	17	51%	-0.22	4	-0.23	7	71%	-0.01
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.19,-0.08,-0.08,-0.65	-0.65	-0.11	-0.55	-0.01	12	43%	-0.33	4	-0.32	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	26.0	2.6	33.7	16.6	28.1	2.5	37.2	1.5	15.4	2.0	20.6	186.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	1.9	17.4	1.9	17.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +51.7%

DET +1.3%

LAC -62.4%

DET +43.9%

DET +15.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	LAC	NBA	DET	LAC	NBA
this game	17.8	16.0	15.5	96.1	93.2	104.0
season	16.7	16.0		103.5	103.0
opponent	15.5	15.9		103.8	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DET	17.3	19.1	17.0	20.3	18.0	18.4
LAC	14.6	16.0	16.5	14.7	19.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	35	34	1.16	-0.66	1.81	0.66	17	-14	31	17.8	17.8	-0.02	16.1	15.9	0.22
Carlos Delfino	22	20	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.27	7	-4	11	16.8	18.1	-1.27	14.1	16.4	-2.32
Chauncey Billups	89	89	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.41	2	1	1	17.8	17.9	-0.13	16.4	13.4	2.94
Antonio McDyess	28	30	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.14	11	-8	19	19.2	17.3	1.92	15.6	16.1	-0.52
Darvin Ham	9	10	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.50	-3	6	-9	17.8	17.8	-0.04	17.7	15.8	1.92
Elden Campbell	12	12	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.03	10	-7	17	17.8	17.8	0.02	14.6	16.2	-1.57
Ben Wallace	83	82	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.29	-6	9	-15	17.2	20.3	-3.08	16.5	14.0	2.54
Rasheed Wallace	83	81	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.41	-11	14	-25	17.9	17.3	0.64	15.9	16.1	-0.15
Tayshaun Prince	71	71	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.31	0	3	-3	18.4	16.5	1.91	15.8	16.2	-0.40
Richard Hamilton	75	78	-0.62	1.12	-1.75	-0.27	-12	15	-27	17.6	18.5	-0.94	15.3	18.0	-2.68

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Simmons	64	65	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.18	4	-7	11	15.9	16.1	-0.25	18.3	16.9	1.38
Elton Brand	92	94	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.26	12	-15	27	16.2	13.8	2.41	17.6	19.9	-2.27
Rick Brunson	17	17	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.04	3	-6	9	16.6	15.8	0.74	18.8	17.6	1.21
Chris Wilcox	84	84	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.34	2	-5	7	15.8	16.9	-1.13	17.0	21.3	-4.23
Corey Maggette	86	86	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.33	0	-3	3	15.6	17.8	-2.22	16.8	23.1	-6.35
Shaun Livingston	31	30	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.18	-6	3	-9	14.1	16.8	-2.63	18.4	17.6	0.87
Marko Jaric	69	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.41	1	-4	5	15.9	16.1	-0.22	17.8	17.9	-0.18
Mikki Moore	28	28	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.05	-16	13	-29	16.5	15.8	0.78	20.8	16.7	4.13
Quinton Ross	36	32	-1.07	0.57	-1.64	-0.63	-15	12	-27	17.1	15.4	1.71	18.6	17.5	1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.23,0.58,0.5,0.55,0.45,0.23,0.42,0.54,0.32,0.54,0.67,0.72,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 109, MEM 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.49,0.48,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.72,1	87.0%
MEM 97, NOK 100	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.45,0.32,0.58,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.32,0.42,1	86.8%
GSW 91, DEN 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.5,0.62,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.46,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.37,0.31,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.73,1	86.7%