inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 96 Excitement9.8 [85] MVPBrandon Jennings (DET): +50.5%
Oklahoma City Thunder 89 Comeback2.3 [320] LVPKyle Singler (DET): -23.5%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandon Jennings0.510,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.4,0.51,0.510.210.27-0.021871%0.5100.00580%-0.00
Jonas Jerebko0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.040.001060%0.101-0.0200%0.00
Caron Butler-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.0220%-0.041-0.0000%0.00
Josh Smith-0.090,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.01-0.080.001653%-0.053-0.0520%-0.04
Andre Drummond-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.040.001139%-0.052-0.041100%0.01
Greg Monroe-0.100,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.03-0.060.011348%-0.033-0.07367%-0.05
D.J. Augustin-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.09-0.04-0.01312%-0.052-0.07250%-0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope-0.180,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.07-0.090.021036%-0.102-0.08250%-0.01
Kyle Singler-0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.04-0.190.00642%-0.172-0.0700%0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.09-0.010.05-0.052047%0.142-0.0500%0.00
Jeremy Lamb0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.060.060.080.010.041771%0.194-0.1400%0.00
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.01-0.00-0.02350%0.011-0.0000%0.00
Anthony Morrow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.19,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.001532%-0.0700.0010%-0.02
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.0020%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Lance Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.01714%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Sebastian Telfair0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.08-0.05-0.0050%-0.1300.0000%0.00
Steven Adams0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.02-0.110.021048%-0.012-0.14333%-0.03
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.23-0.01-0.24-0.021756%-0.094-0.1420%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game22.32.829.515.624.51.730.31.812.5140.9
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.62.017.8136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +10.3%
DET +8.9%
DET +22.7%
DET +6.9%
DET +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETOKCNBADETOKCNBA
this game15.516.915.198.090.8104.2
season15.714.5104.0105.7
opponent15.015.3103.5105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DET16.513.816.017.412.115.5
OKC14.118.116.719.616.316.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Greg Monroe65631.27-0.772.030.3930-235315.315.9-0.6217.016.90.14
Caron Butler53530.470.030.440.53-29-1113.218.2-4.9516.118.0-1.94
Josh Smith65660.300.200.110.1943115.914.71.2116.717.5-0.77
D.J. Augustin31310.290.210.080.058-1915.515.50.0218.916.02.86
Kyle Singler47460.250.250.01-0.0410-31314.716.2-1.4518.215.92.27
Brandon Jennings67670.210.29-0.080.24-18-915.515.5-0.0216.018.9-2.86
Jonas Jerebko33320.200.30-0.110.1134-114.715.9-1.2117.516.70.77
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope73740.010.49-0.490.18-613-1916.512.44.1116.717.6-0.90
Andre Drummond5658-0.501.00-1.50-0.18-1118-2917.213.33.8817.016.80.21

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lance Thomas3838-0.10-0.400.29-0.04-2-5317.216.80.3416.914.62.24
Nick Collison3233-0.13-0.370.24-0.130-7716.817.0-0.2014.016.2-2.22
Kendrick Perkins3537-0.14-0.360.22-0.233-101316.017.5-1.4314.016.4-2.41
Reggie Jackson8180-0.20-0.300.09-0.231-8916.817.8-1.0616.112.93.20
Serge Ibaka7576-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.24-2-5316.817.5-0.6916.312.93.40
Jeremy Lamb8384-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.341-8916.519.3-2.7415.714.51.17
Sebastian Telfair2121-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.07-103-1318.416.61.8213.516.1-2.58
Steven Adams5855-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.00-169-2517.815.72.1116.214.71.51
Anthony Morrow6766-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.19-103-1317.116.60.4914.617.4-2.83


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.58,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.48,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.55,0.42,0.54,0.31,0.55,0.16,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 98, CLE 940.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.66,0.42,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.32,0.27,089.0%
NYK 103, MIA 1000.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.3,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.19,0.34,0.57,0.59,0.54,0.38,0.28,0.06,0.16,088.9%
BKN 110, MIA 1090.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.23,0.1,0.24,0.31,0.19,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.5,0.61,0.37,0.24,0.28,088.7%