NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	97		Excitement	8.1 [240]		MVP	Shaun Livingston (BKN): +15.9%
Brooklyn Nets	101		Comeback	3.0 [449]		LVP	Terrence Ross (TOR): -25.0%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Hansbrough	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.04	0.00	6	73%	0.14	0	0.00	10	80%	0.04
Kyle Lowry	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.14	0.05	0.07	-0.02	16	64%	0.26	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.00	0.07	-0.01	9	54%	0.12	2	-0.03	8	100%	0.11
Jonas Valanciunas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.06	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
Steve Novak	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Amir Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.04	0.01	14	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	6	33%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.25	0.01	-0.24	0.01	12	50%	-0.05	1	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.08	0.01	10	75%	0.28	2	-0.12	4	100%	0.06
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	0.00	3	79%	0.14	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,0,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,0.13,0.13	0.13	-0.04	0.17	0.00	8	62%	0.35	6	-0.22	8	75%	0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.00	13	60%	0.12	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	6	38%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	7	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	7	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.06	0.01	13	54%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.5	32.2	15.8	27.5	2.6	36.5	140.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +45.8%

TOR -13.8%

TOR -1.2%

BKN +19.2%

TOR -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	BKN	NBA	TOR	BKN	NBA
this game	15.6	16.4	15.1	107.8	112.2	105.2
season	15.9	15.7		107.2	105.1
opponent	15.5	15.1		106.7	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.5	17.0	16.0	13.9	15.6
BKN	17.2	15.0	18.3	15.5	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Hansbrough	42	42	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.20	8	-12	20	15.3	15.8	-0.55	16.8	16.2	0.60
Charles Hayes	14	13	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.03	1	-5	6	14.9	15.7	-0.83	16.9	16.4	0.56
Greivis Vasquez	33	34	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-2	0	15.9	15.4	0.51	16.5	16.4	0.14
John Salmons	39	40	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.07	0	-4	4	15.2	15.8	-0.66	16.2	16.6	-0.40
Steve Novak	13	14	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-1	-2	16.1	15.5	0.61	15.3	16.7	-1.37
Terrence Ross	61	61	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.46	7	-11	18	15.6	15.5	0.06	16.6	16.2	0.35
Jonas Valanciunas	41	41	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	8	-20	16.6	14.7	1.89	16.4	16.4	-0.01
Amir Johnson	68	68	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.42	-2	-2	0	15.2	16.5	-1.31	16.5	16.3	0.17
Kyle Lowry	73	72	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.41	-5	1	-6	15.1	17.5	-2.43	16.2	17.3	-1.04
DeMar DeRozan	66	65	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.30	-12	8	-20	16.0	14.2	1.78	16.6	16.1	0.45

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andray Blatche	57	55	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.37	15	-11	26	15.3	18.4	-3.13	15.3	16.0	-0.73
Deron Williams	65	65	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.52	9	-5	14	16.6	16.0	0.56	16.4	13.3	3.10
Joe Johnson	62	61	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.49	5	-1	6	16.4	16.5	-0.08	15.8	15.0	0.77
Shaun Livingston	62	63	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.37	3	1	2	16.5	16.4	0.02	15.2	16.3	-1.06
Mason Plumlee	46	47	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.04	7	-3	10	17.6	15.2	2.43	16.6	14.4	2.22
Paul Pierce	55	58	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.37	-9	13	-22	16.6	16.2	0.45	15.1	16.3	-1.22
Mirza Teletovic	14	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.05	1	3	-2	16.6	16.4	0.23	17.5	15.3	2.24
Jason Collins	8	8	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.04	-6	10	-16	16.2	16.5	-0.21	11.5	16.0	-4.45
Marcus Thornton	34	34	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.10	-3	7	-10	16.7	16.3	0.37	15.3	15.7	-0.37
Alan Anderson	47	47	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.14	-2	6	-8	16.1	16.8	-0.75	14.6	16.6	-1.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.75,0.84,0.8,0.74,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.72,0.61,0.55,0.25,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 111, WAS 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.62,0.48,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.31,0.42,1	90.8%
BOS 105, GSW 109	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.87,0.82,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.71,0.67,0.53,0.36,0.47,0.92,1	90.0%
ORL 92, LAC 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.3,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.73,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.68,0.58,1	89.5%