inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 111 Excitement9.0 [138] MVPTrevor Ariza (ORL): +19.7%
Washington Wizards 112 Comeback2.2 [653] LVPDwight Howard (ORL): -16.8%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Trevor Ariza0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.130.060.00872%0.2000.00989%0.04
Darko Milicic0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.010.06-0.01555%0.101-0.0210%-0.01
Keyon Dooling0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.070.16-0.08-0.001377%0.0700.0000%0.00
Jameer Nelson0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.070.030.040.011450%0.0700.002100%0.02
Tony Battie0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.02-0.01267%0.0500.002100%0.01
Keith Bogans-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Carlos Arroyo-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.01-0.01237%-0.011-0.01475%0.01
Grant Hill-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.00638%-0.031-0.031100%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu-0.150,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.07,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.150.04-0.160.031371%0.015-0.16250%-0.02
Dwight Howard-0.170,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.03,0.04,-0.15,-0.17-0.03-0.15-0.011753%0.025-0.19450%-0.03

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.17,0.14,0.22,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.12,0.120.120.080.01-0.022655%0.172-0.051493%0.05
Calvin Booth0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.040.002100%0.0800.0000%0.00
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.030.001100%0.0700.003100%0.03
Andray Blatche0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.020.001100%0.0600.001100%0.01
Caron Butler0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.050.05-0.010.080.021267%0.226-0.17667%-0.07
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.01-0.00861%0.102-0.062100%0.01
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.00475%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Jarvis Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Antawn Jamison0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.04,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11-0.110.02-0.120.011361%0.205-0.311567%-0.07
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.01.832.117.427.62.642.2147.6
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +39.7%
WAS +7.7%
WAS +15.1%
ORL -14.7%
WAS +2.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLWASNBAORLWASNBA
this game16.314.515.4118.1120.4104.5
season15.914.8103.4107.8
opponent15.315.7108.7103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL16.216.515.816.916.3
WAS14.415.513.015.014.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Keith Bogans18170.31-0.811.110.165-61115.616.5-0.9717.113.93.19
Darko Milicic30310.13-0.630.76-0.056-71315.916.5-0.6016.213.62.66
Carlos Arroyo2424-0.06-0.440.38-0.060-1117.516.01.5016.113.92.20
Grant Hill4847-0.28-0.22-0.050.02-109-1916.116.5-0.4013.315.6-2.25
Hedo Turkoglu7876-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.300-1116.415.90.4914.116.2-2.18
Tony Battie3131-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.01-109-1916.516.30.1712.815.3-2.42
Trevor Ariza4647-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.444-5916.716.00.7015.513.42.10
Jameer Nelson7069-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.41-10-116.017.5-1.5013.916.1-2.20
Keyon Dooling4444-0.550.05-0.60-0.767-81516.815.90.8615.213.81.43
Dwight Howard8179-0.690.19-0.87-0.51-65-1116.217.2-0.9413.817.9-4.09

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gilbert Arenas90900.70-0.200.910.449-81714.415.0-0.5716.415.01.40
Caron Butler69690.57-0.070.640.396-51113.816.4-2.5916.117.0-0.95
Antawn Jamison91910.410.090.330.304-3714.416.5-2.0916.222.0-5.85
DeShawn Stevenson67680.410.090.310.4101-113.417.1-3.6415.917.5-1.66
Brendan Haywood56570.360.140.210.42-23-514.015.1-1.0915.717.3-1.53
Andray Blatche12120.180.32-0.150.064-3712.314.8-2.4317.416.21.23
Calvin Booth14150.040.46-0.410.0401-117.014.03.0019.915.74.20
Jarvis Hayes3030-0.070.57-0.640.11-67-1316.513.53.0216.916.10.87
Antonio Daniels3638-0.100.60-0.700.19-1011-2116.513.23.3016.616.10.49


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.62,0.48,0.62,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.31,0.42,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 103, CHI 1040.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.76,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.54,0.4,0.54,0.46,0.32,0.42,192.2%
TOR 97, BKN 1010.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.75,0.84,0.8,0.74,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.72,0.61,0.55,0.25,0.74,190.8%
SEA 104, GSW 1080.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.41,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.62,0.57,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.54,0.78,0.64,0.79,0.57,0.73,190.7%