NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	104		Excitement	9.5 [100]		MVP	Ray Allen (SEA): +35.9%
Golden State Warriors	108		Comeback	2.5 [852]		LVP	Earl Watson (SEA): -14.5%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.36	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.39,0.39,0.56,0.56,0.36	0.28	0.11	0.04	17	88%	0.64	5	-0.28	9	100%	0.05
Chris Wilcox	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	13	67%	0.18	2	-0.07	7	86%	0.01
Mickael Gelabale	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	8	59%	0.10	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Damien Wilkins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.14,0.03,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	8	50%	0.10	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.10
Mike Wilks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andre Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	8	44%	0.01	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	11	31%	-0.07	3	-0.07	4	25%	-0.04

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.09	0.09	-0.04	0.12	-0.01	15	35%	0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	11	58%	0.13	1	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	3	60%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	92%	0.17	3	-0.13	4	75%	0.01
Kelenna Azubuike	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	62%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.11,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.05	0.00	16	54%	0.13	2	-0.13	5	20%	-0.06
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.06	0.02	13	47%	0.07	3	-0.08	8	37%	-0.08
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	19	52%	0.09	5	-0.13	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	1.8	28.0	15.6	29.2	2.5	33.5	138.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA -5.6%

SEA -9.0%

GSW +36.7%

GSW +26.5%

GSW +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	GSW	NBA	SEA	GSW	NBA
this game	15.3	14.0	15.4	106.1	109.1	104.5
season	15.4	13.5		105.5	105.7
opponent	15.2	15.4		105.7	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.4	15.3	15.2	16.2	15.3
GSW	13.9	14.1	13.6	14.4	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Wilks	2	2	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.01	4	-8	12	10.0	15.4	-5.36	10.0	14.1	-4.07
Chris Wilcox	65	69	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.12	2	-6	8	14.6	16.5	-1.81	14.0	13.9	0.13
Andre Brown	18	18	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-2	0	14.0	15.5	-1.54	13.5	14.1	-0.60
Johan Petro	31	30	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.01	-7	3	-10	16.4	14.7	1.70	14.4	13.8	0.64
Luke Ridnour	46	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	1	-6	15.8	14.8	1.04	14.0	13.9	0.10
Damien Wilkins	58	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-6	8	15.5	14.9	0.60	14.1	13.8	0.27
Mickael Gelabale	68	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.27	-4	0	-4	15.2	15.4	-0.16	13.8	14.4	-0.53
Earl Watson	72	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.27	-5	1	-6	15.3	15.2	0.09	13.7	14.6	-0.88
Ray Allen	75	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-3	2	15.1	15.7	-0.52	14.3	12.9	1.30
Nick Collison	55	56	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.36	-4	0	-4	15.4	15.1	0.33	14.0	14.0	-0.02

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monta Ellis	75	76	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.35	9	-5	14	13.9	14.4	-0.56	15.5	14.4	1.15
Andris Biedrins	71	71	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.34	9	-5	14	14.0	14.0	-0.01	15.6	14.3	1.37
Matt Barnes	75	73	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.30	8	-4	12	13.5	15.4	-1.83	15.0	15.9	-0.89
Baron Davis	99	98	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	14.0	0.0	13.99	15.3	0.0	15.26
Mickael Pietrus	88	87	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.33	5	-1	6	14.4	10.6	3.77	15.5	13.5	1.93
Ike Diogu	10	10	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.03	0	4	-4	13.1	14.1	-0.99	14.4	15.4	-0.95
Mike Dunleavy	35	36	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.13	-5	9	-14	13.9	14.0	-0.16	15.2	15.3	-0.10
Troy Murphy	17	16	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.02	-2	6	-8	15.3	13.7	1.57	14.5	15.4	-0.90
Adonal Foyle	1	1	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	7	-10	1.0	14.1	-13.12	9.0	15.3	-6.32
Kelenna Azubuike	24	22	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.03	-5	9	-14	14.4	13.9	0.56	14.4	15.5	-1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.41,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.62,0.57,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.54,0.78,0.64,0.79,0.57,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 96, UTA 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.78,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.57,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.69,0.84,0.68,0.58,1	91.3%
SAS 90, NYK 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.64,0.72,0.77,0.9,1	91.0%
ATL 86, CHI 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.62,0.67,0.8,0.67,0.74,0.66,0.53,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.63,1	90.8%