NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	107		Excitement	9.3 [115]		MVP	Wesley Johnson (LAL): +33.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	106		Comeback	3.6 [178]		LVP	Damian Lillard (POR): -41.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Johnson	0.33	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.33	0.01	0.32	0.00	11	64%	0.43	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0.12	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.04	0.00	16	60%	0.15	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Robert Sacre	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	5	67%	0.13	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kent Bazemore	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	9	70%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Ryan Kelly	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Henry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.08	0.00	20	52%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	9	50%	0.05	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0,0,-0.11	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	9	33%	-0.08	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.06
Kendall Marshall	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	9	39%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	6	67%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.02	13	70%	0.12	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.08	-0.01	14	52%	0.19	5	-0.16	5	60%	0.01
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.00	3	86%	0.05	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	12	29%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	9	35%	-0.07	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.15	-0.03	19	50%	-0.05	4	-0.12	4	75%	-0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17,-0.42	-0.42	-0.05	-0.36	0.00	19	48%	-0.23	4	-0.19	4	25%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.3	29.3	14.8	24.2	1.7	37.0	132.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +69.7%

LAL +6.7%

POR -47.3%

LAL +16.2%

LAL +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	POR	NBA	LAL	POR	NBA
this game	12.6	15.2	15.1	103.9	101.9	105.2
season	14.0	15.1		102.9	109.6
opponent	14.8	14.8		106.5	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	11.9	14.0	11.7	12.9	12.6
POR	14.3	13.1	15.4	18.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kent Bazemore	63	64	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.73	4	-3	7	12.1	13.4	-1.29	14.1	16.9	-2.76
Jodie Meeks	82	83	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.36	11	-10	21	12.9	11.4	1.55	15.5	14.1	1.39
Pau Gasol	75	75	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.21	5	-4	9	12.4	13.1	-0.68	14.9	16.0	-1.15
MarShon Brooks	51	51	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.48	-5	6	-11	12.6	12.6	0.07	16.0	14.4	1.64
Ryan Kelly	23	23	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	-3	7	13.5	12.3	1.17	17.7	14.5	3.26
Wesley Johnson	80	81	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.30	-3	4	-7	12.3	13.5	-1.17	14.5	17.7	-3.26
Kendall Marshall	58	57	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.00	5	-4	9	12.4	12.8	-0.37	14.5	16.0	-1.49
Robert Sacre	28	29	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.26	-4	5	-9	13.1	12.4	0.68	16.0	14.9	1.15
Xavier Henry	11	11	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.09	-6	7	-13	12.2	12.7	-0.48	14.5	15.3	-0.73
Jordan Farmar	44	46	-0.43	0.93	-1.35	-0.25	-6	7	-13	13.0	12.3	0.72	16.2	14.4	1.86

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Barton	10	8	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.05	1	-2	3	15.1	15.2	-0.11	16.4	12.3	4.08
Dorell Wright	34	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	1	-3	14.8	15.4	-0.61	12.1	12.9	-0.75
CJ McCollum	18	20	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-2	3	15.3	15.2	0.09	11.9	12.8	-0.82
Meyers Leonard	30	30	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	3	-7	15.5	15.1	0.42	12.7	12.6	0.17
Mo Williams	52	51	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.17	-2	1	-3	14.5	15.9	-1.40	12.2	13.0	-0.86
Robin Lopez	72	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-3	5	15.3	15.0	0.34	12.7	12.4	0.30
Damian Lillard	78	77	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.34	0	-1	1	15.1	15.6	-0.55	12.4	13.4	-1.03
Nicolas Batum	84	82	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.31	-1	0	-1	14.9	16.3	-1.42	12.2	14.1	-1.86
Wesley Matthews	75	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.41	1	-2	3	15.4	14.8	0.57	12.7	12.3	0.42
LaMarcus Aldridge	67	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	0	-1	16.0	13.7	2.33	13.4	11.1	2.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.28,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.37,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.28,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.19,0.22,0.33,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 94, MEM 87	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.14,0.12,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.58,0	93.0%
UTA 94, LAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.34,0.25,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.23,0.58,0	92.9%
BOS 89, WAS 86	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.29,0.55,0.32,0.26,0	92.6%