NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	94		Excitement	7.8 [281]		MVP	John Stockton (UTA): +26.4%
Los Angeles Clippers	89		Comeback	1.4 [755]		LVP	Elton Brand (LAC): -28.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.26	0.04	0.22	-0.00	7	71%	0.28	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Matt Harpring	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.14	0.00	0.14	0.01	13	61%	0.23	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	10	57%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Scott Padgett	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	10	62%	0.02	1	-0.03	6	67%	0.00
Karl Malone	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	0.00	19	54%	0.10	4	-0.11	8	87%	0.03
Tony Massenburg	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	8	36%	-0.05	2	-0.05	6	33%	-0.05
Mark Jackson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.18,0.18,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.09	0.01	7	82%	0.20	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.02
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.14	0.00	14	50%	0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.00	9	77%	0.13	2	-0.04	12	67%	-0.05
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	42%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	4	42%	-0.02	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.16	-0.00	-0.03	12	15%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.04
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18	-0.18	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	3	40%	-0.09	2	-0.09	4	50%	-0.09
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.28	-0.28	-0.11	-0.19	-0.01	13	40%	-0.08	3	-0.21	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	1.8	26.2	15.5	31.3	2.8	35.3	136.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +23.1%

UTA +7.3%

LAC -1.5%

UTA +20.0%

UTA +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAC	NBA	UTA	LAC	NBA
this game	17.0	14.3	15.5	102.2	96.7	101.6
season	16.3	15.4		103.1	100.2
opponent	15.4	15.3		104.3	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.5	19.5	16.0	17.0	17.0
LAC	17.3	12.6	14.0	13.5	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calbert Cheaney	75	75	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.43	6	-1	7	17.0	17.2	-0.22	14.6	13.0	1.60
Karl Malone	82	81	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.29	8	-3	11	16.7	19.8	-3.14	14.6	11.9	2.72
John Stockton	60	60	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.31	5	0	5	16.7	17.5	-0.77	14.3	14.3	0.04
Andrei Kirilenko	46	45	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.19	3	2	1	17.0	17.0	0.09	13.4	15.2	-1.77
Matt Harpring	67	67	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	1	3	16.3	18.8	-2.42	14.1	14.8	-0.74
Tony Massenburg	19	17	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	4	-3	18.5	16.6	1.86	14.7	14.2	0.49
Greg Ostertag	69	72	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.15	1	4	-3	17.2	16.3	0.99	14.7	13.0	1.60
Mark Jackson	32	32	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	5	-5	17.5	16.7	0.77	14.3	14.3	-0.04
Scott Padgett	10	11	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	8	-11	19.8	16.7	3.14	11.9	14.6	-2.72

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	11	10	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-8	11	11.9	14.6	-2.72	19.8	16.7	3.14
Lamar Odom	57	58	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-3	1	14.2	14.5	-0.34	16.0	18.8	-2.80
Andre Miller	65	65	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-4	3	14.6	13.5	1.16	16.2	18.9	-2.62
Sean Rooks	65	64	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.14	-3	-2	-1	14.4	14.0	0.48	16.9	17.3	-0.41
Eric Piatkowski	46	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.35	4	-9	13	13.0	15.6	-2.65	18.8	15.4	3.40
Corey Maggette	48	51	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	5	-15	15.1	13.4	1.72	14.6	20.0	-5.41
Marko Jaric	27	27	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	-1	-3	13.5	14.6	-1.16	18.9	16.2	2.62
Quentin Richardson	35	34	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-2	-1	14.5	14.2	0.34	18.8	16.0	2.80
Melvin Ely	49	48	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.20	-6	1	-7	15.2	13.2	2.01	16.9	17.1	-0.26
Elton Brand	57	59	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.29	-3	-2	-1	14.2	14.5	-0.34	17.5	16.1	1.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.34,0.25,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.23,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 94, MEM 87	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.14,0.12,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.58,0	93.5%
LAL 107, POR 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.28,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.37,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.28,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.19,0.22,0.33,0.42,0	92.9%
GSW 125, DAL 122	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.43,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.26,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.26,0	90.6%