NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	94		Excitement	7.2 [388]		MVP	Randy Foye (MIN): +40.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	87		Comeback	1.4 [524]		LVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): -14.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Foye	0.41	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.41	0.15	0.29	0.03	13	72%	0.42	1	-0.01	6	83%	-0.00
Craig Smith	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.02	0.02	8	83%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Gomes	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	11	58%	0.10	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Mike Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.02	-0.00	4	25%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.1,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.01	-0.00	11	36%	0.01	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Kevin Love	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.13,-0.13	0.01	-0.12	0.02	15	56%	0.11	4	-0.24	4	75%	-0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.08	0.00	10	62%	0.27	4	-0.20	1	100%	0.03
Kyle Lowry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	5	56%	0.07	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Greg Buckner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	-0.00	18	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.04	0.02	16	52%	0.02	2	-0.04	10	80%	0.01
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	3	30%	-0.03	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	14	43%	-0.04	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.4	29.5	15.8	29.1	2.4	37.6	141.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +78.4%

MEM -27.1%

MIN +10.7%

MEM -10.1%

MEM -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	MEM	NBA	MIN	MEM	NBA
this game	16.6	16.2	15.5	108.0	97.8	106.4
season	15.8	16.1		104.3	101.7
opponent	15.3	15.1		107.6	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.4	16.0	16.6	18.2	16.6
MEM	16.5	16.7	14.7	16.9	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Gomes	62	64	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.16	11	-4	15	15.8	18.4	-2.65	16.2	16.2	-0.03
Randy Foye	69	70	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.29	6	1	5	16.9	15.4	1.47	16.5	15.2	1.30
Al Jefferson	61	64	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	-4	15	16.3	17.2	-0.97	15.5	17.8	-2.25
Rodney Carney	33	33	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	3	1	17.7	15.9	1.80	15.6	16.5	-0.96
Craig Smith	36	41	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.07	12	-5	17	15.8	17.1	-1.27	16.9	15.6	1.25
Mike Miller	52	51	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.34	-2	9	-11	16.4	16.7	-0.32	15.9	16.6	-0.70
Sebastian Telfair	61	64	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.12	3	4	-1	16.3	17.2	-0.97	16.0	16.8	-0.81
Kevin Love	37	35	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.24	-5	12	-17	17.3	16.0	1.25	16.6	15.9	0.65
Brian Cardinal	24	23	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.11	-5	12	-17	17.9	16.0	1.83	17.5	15.7	1.75

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Miles	14	15	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-7	7	15.7	16.3	-0.55	15.5	16.8	-1.31
Greg Buckner	5	5	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.05	-2	-5	3	25.0	15.7	9.35	26.4	16.0	10.45
Kyle Lowry	52	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.03	-8	1	-9	16.5	15.7	0.82	16.7	16.3	0.40
O.J. Mayo	77	76	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-8	9	15.5	20.3	-4.80	16.4	17.5	-1.14
Quinton Ross	26	25	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.11	-4	-3	-1	17.1	15.8	1.27	14.6	17.3	-2.74
Darrell Arthur	41	39	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.02	-10	3	-13	17.2	15.3	1.88	16.5	16.6	-0.07
Mike Conley	36	38	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.37	3	-10	13	16.1	16.2	-0.12	16.7	16.4	0.28
Hakim Warrick	67	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.37	3	-10	13	16.0	16.7	-0.73	16.8	15.7	1.11
Rudy Gay	71	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.17	-9	2	-11	15.6	18.4	-2.77	16.5	16.8	-0.37
Marc Gasol	56	54	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.18	-9	2	-11	15.9	16.7	-0.77	16.6	16.5	0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.14,0.12,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 94, LAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.37,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.34,0.25,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.23,0.58,0	93.5%
LAL 107, POR 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.28,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.37,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.28,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.19,0.22,0.33,0.42,0	93.0%
NYK 100, DAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.21,0.24,0.33,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.04,0.09,0.02,0.03,0.11,0.57,0.41,0	91.6%