NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	89		Excitement	7.5 [332]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +25.6%
Washington Wizards	86		Comeback	1.8 [705]		LVP	Martell Webster (WAS): -28.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.26	0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.07	0.17	-0.02	22	56%	0.30	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Brandon Bass	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	6	38%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03	0.00	-0.04	-0.01	10	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Kevin Garnett	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.03	-0.01	-0.05	-0.03	15	47%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Courtney Lee	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	7	29%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	0.04	8	40%	-0.08	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Rajon Rondo	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.16,-0.16	0.02	-0.18	0.00	10	60%	0.02	2	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.10	0.00	7	64%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.02	0.02	0.12	-0.08	0.02	9	86%	0.24	2	-0.21	4	75%	0.01
Chris Singleton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.09	-0.01	14	62%	0.03	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.05
Jan Vesely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	10	40%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	0.00	6	21%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.09	-0.00	10	52%	-0.05	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	0.02	-0.13	0.00	2	125%	0.12	2	-0.23	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.28	-0.28	-0.06	-0.23	-0.00	6	29%	-0.27	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.7	27.3	16.4	22.4	2.3	36.6	133.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +21.3%

WAS -7.3%

WAS -6.1%

BOS +40.2%

BOS +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	WAS	NBA	BOS	WAS	NBA
this game	16.6	14.6	15.4	96.7	92.5	104.1
season	14.9	15.1		101.2	98.8
opponent	15.7	16.2		101.2	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.9	18.2	19.9	16.2	16.6
WAS	16.6	13.9	15.3	12.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Courtney Lee	52	52	0.86	-0.36	1.21	0.56	10	-7	17	16.5	16.7	-0.29	16.0	12.8	3.18
Paul Pierce	63	65	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.31	15	-12	27	16.3	17.2	-0.96	15.7	11.9	3.76
Rajon Rondo	76	77	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.28	15	-12	27	16.5	16.9	-0.35	15.1	12.0	3.09
Kevin Garnett	55	56	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.39	10	-7	17	16.4	16.8	-0.42	15.8	12.6	3.22
Brandon Bass	56	53	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.73	-8	11	-19	16.5	16.7	-0.18	14.1	15.1	-0.99
Jared Sullinger	55	57	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.12	7	-4	11	16.7	16.4	0.30	15.3	13.4	1.91
Chris Wilcox	17	15	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.06	-5	8	-13	17.3	16.4	0.87	10.7	15.3	-4.56
Jeff Green	34	34	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	-0.04	-5	8	-13	16.6	16.6	-0.04	12.6	15.7	-3.11
Leandro Barbosa	16	17	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.13	-12	15	-27	16.9	16.5	0.35	11.4	15.3	-3.92
Jason Terry	36	39	-0.59	1.09	-1.69	-0.24	-12	15	-27	17.2	16.2	0.95	12.0	16.4	-4.41

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cartier Martin	12	11	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.04	5	-8	13	13.0	14.8	-1.79	18.5	16.3	2.22
Jan Vesely	42	43	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.13	5	-8	13	12.5	16.3	-3.84	17.8	15.5	2.30
Chris Singleton	1	0	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-3	3	1.0	14.7	-13.71	0.0	16.6	-16.59
A.J. Price	58	54	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.28	-12	9	-21	15.3	13.3	2.09	16.5	16.7	-0.21
Kevin Seraphin	56	58	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.58	17	-20	37	12.3	18.0	-5.67	17.4	15.2	2.24
Martell Webster	50	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.47	10	-13	23	12.4	17.1	-4.71	17.5	15.5	1.98
Jordan Crawford	48	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.61	15	-18	33	12.1	17.2	-5.12	18.0	14.8	3.17
Jannero Pargo	39	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.47	7	-10	17	12.9	15.8	-2.91	16.6	16.6	-0.04
Trevor Ariza	31	30	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.10	-18	15	-33	18.7	12.5	6.18	14.4	17.7	-3.29
Emeka Okafor	31	30	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.09	-18	15	-33	19.5	12.1	7.34	14.4	17.7	-3.29
Trevor Booker	56	53	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	7	-17	15.9	12.5	3.44	15.9	17.5	-1.52
Bradley Beal	42	40	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.03	-18	15	-33	17.5	12.1	5.45	14.9	17.9	-2.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.18,0.29,0.55,0.32,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 107, POR 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.28,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.37,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.28,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.19,0.22,0.33,0.42,0	92.6%
NJN 94, BOS 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.11,0.19,0.21,0.12,0.16,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.2,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.18,0.19,0.28,0.32,0.17,0	91.7%
POR 85, HOU 78	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.24,0.39,0.45,0.61,0.45,0.09,0	91.5%