NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	93		Excitement	8.0 [255]		MVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (NYK): +55.0%
Memphis Grizzlies	98		Comeback	8.0 [236]		LVP	J.R. Smith (NYK): -27.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.55	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.61,0.55	0.13	0.41	-0.00	15	66%	0.58	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Carmelo Anthony	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.04	0.11	-0.02	22	42%	0.10	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.05	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	82%	0.12	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Jeremy Tyler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Pablo Prigioni	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05	0.01	-0.04	0.01	5	70%	0.04	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	9	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	11	46%	0.03	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
J.R. Smith	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.28	-0.08	-0.20	-0.00	8	25%	-0.25	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.53	0.53	0.18	0.35	-0.00	11	86%	0.53	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Calathes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	0.00	7	69%	0.16	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,0,0.1	0.10	-0.03	0.13	-0.00	15	52%	0.29	4	-0.18	12	83%	0.05
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.05	0.01	11	54%	0.07	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	8	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	37%	-0.04	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	30.6	16.5	23.4	2.5	37.7	137.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +50.7%

NYK -0.5%

MEM +1.9%

NYK -1.9%

NYK -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MEM	NBA	NYK	MEM	NBA
this game	16.3	15.9	15.1	103.3	110.1	105.2
season	16.0	16.4		106.4	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.4		103.4	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.5	17.2	15.4	17.0	16.3
MEM	18.1	16.3	17.3	12.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Iman Shumpert	34	36	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.05	2	-7	9	15.6	16.7	-1.06	19.8	13.2	6.56
Raymond Felton	52	52	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-6	7	16.2	16.4	-0.29	18.2	12.7	5.47
Amar'e Stoudemire	45	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	0	-5	16.3	16.2	0.11	16.0	15.8	0.23
Carmelo Anthony	76	76	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.37	5	-10	15	16.4	15.6	0.84	16.4	12.9	3.48
Jeremy Tyler	20	20	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.04	-7	2	-9	16.0	16.3	-0.29	14.3	16.3	-2.00
Pablo Prigioni	58	58	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.35	2	-7	9	16.1	16.7	-0.64	15.3	17.0	-1.64
Tyson Chandler	48	50	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.28	-2	-3	1	16.3	16.2	0.12	15.5	16.4	-0.82
J.R. Smith	67	64	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.35	-8	3	-11	16.6	15.3	1.37	14.7	19.0	-4.37
Tim Hardaway Jr.	50	48	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.23	-13	8	-21	16.4	16.1	0.37	12.9	19.4	-6.43

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	69	70	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.52	5	0	5	17.0	12.1	4.84	16.6	15.2	1.39
Nick Calathes	35	36	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.36	7	-2	9	15.0	16.5	-1.43	16.3	16.2	0.09
Courtney Lee	69	71	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.54	0	5	-5	16.6	13.5	3.09	15.8	18.1	-2.25
Mike Conley	58	58	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.28	3	2	1	15.8	16.1	-0.30	16.2	16.3	-0.10
Zach Randolph	63	64	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.28	-2	7	-9	16.6	14.2	2.36	16.0	17.1	-1.12
Kosta Koufos	27	27	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.07	4	1	3	14.6	16.5	-1.93	16.3	16.3	0.03
Mike Miller	40	41	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.05	7	-2	9	13.3	18.0	-4.72	16.7	16.0	0.70
Ed Davis	15	14	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	2	1	13.7	16.3	-2.60	17.0	16.1	0.86
Marc Gasol	44	44	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.05	-3	8	-11	18.5	13.4	5.10	16.3	16.3	0.03
James Johnson	25	25	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.18	1	4	-3	13.1	17.0	-3.92	16.5	16.2	0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.71,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.76,0.63,0.41,0.19,0.17,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 103, WAS 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.88,0.83,0.75,0.75,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.7,0.6,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.34,0.22,0.19,0.36,0.31,0.42,1	90.8%
LAC 102, DAL 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.53,0.47,0.21,0.24,0.17,1	90.7%
SAC 98, TOR 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.57,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.35,0.17,0.25,0.17,0.22,0.42,1	90.3%