NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	103		Excitement	8.1 [227]		MVP	Mike James (WAS): +45.4%
Washington Wizards	111		Comeback	5.2 [259]		LVP	Nick Young (WAS): -9.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sebastian Telfair	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.39,0.26	0.04	0.21	-0.01	10	55%	0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.09	0.01	7	65%	0.18	1	-0.02	12	92%	0.07
Brian Cardinal	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.06	-0.01	1	117%	0.14	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Mike Miller	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	12	62%	0.10	2	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Ryan Gomes	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.05	0.06	-0.02	18	39%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Randy Foye	0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0	-0.01	0.04	0.02	21	48%	0.05	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Rodney Carney	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	8	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rashad McCants	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Craig Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike James	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.26,0.45	0.45	0.09	0.38	0.02	10	62%	0.45	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Javaris Crittenton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.31	0.31	0.05	0.26	-0.00	6	69%	0.33	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	-0.00	7	75%	0.18	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	17	64%	0.22	6	-0.17	11	82%	0.02
Caron Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.03	-0.00	14	57%	0.07	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	10	54%	0.07	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.03
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	6	57%	0.03	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	5	8%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	34.3	15.4	25.8	2.0	33.3	138.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +65.5%

MIN -11.4%

WAS +16.9%

MIN -24.0%

WAS +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	WAS	NBA	MIN	WAS	NBA
this game	13.9	14.9	15.5	103.0	111.0	106.4
season	15.8	15.9		104.3	103.5
opponent	15.2	15.1		111.7	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.7	12.2	13.3	14.4	13.9
WAS	13.6	14.5	16.7	15.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cardinal	36	35	0.40	-0.90	1.31	0.02	13	-21	34	12.0	14.9	-2.86	15.9	14.4	1.41
Craig Smith	36	35	0.36	-0.86	1.22	0.18	6	-14	20	13.2	14.2	-1.00	16.0	14.4	1.67
Rodney Carney	39	37	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.21	-3	-5	2	13.7	14.0	-0.32	15.0	14.9	0.10
Rashad McCants	17	17	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.05	-8	0	-8	15.4	13.5	1.87	14.1	15.1	-0.99
Mark Madsen	21	18	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	2	-12	13.8	13.9	-0.12	13.4	15.3	-1.89
Sebastian Telfair	70	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.43	0	-8	8	13.7	14.2	-0.53	14.9	15.1	-0.18
Mike Miller	79	79	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.41	-3	-5	2	13.7	14.6	-0.96	14.4	16.8	-2.37
Ryan Gomes	59	61	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.21	-15	7	-22	14.7	12.7	2.04	15.4	14.2	1.25
Randy Foye	85	87	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.31	-12	4	-16	14.0	13.3	0.70	15.0	14.7	0.28
Kevin Love	58	61	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.48	-8	0	-8	14.6	12.9	1.69	14.6	15.5	-0.85

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andray Blatche	57	53	0.97	-0.47	1.43	0.35	21	-13	34	14.7	15.3	-0.55	14.3	13.3	0.98
Javaris Crittenton	54	53	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.14	19	-11	30	13.5	16.6	-3.13	13.4	14.4	-1.03
Mike James	57	58	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.46	-1	9	-10	15.3	14.5	0.75	13.5	14.4	-0.94
Antawn Jamison	88	88	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	4	0	14.3	19.3	-4.99	13.6	15.9	-2.34
Caron Butler	75	79	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.36	-2	10	-12	15.6	13.0	2.59	14.0	13.2	0.79
Dominic McGuire	71	69	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.14	8	0	8	14.8	15.3	-0.47	14.0	13.5	0.45
Nick Young	30	29	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	10	-12	15.9	14.5	1.32	14.6	13.5	1.07
JaVale McGee	28	31	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.02	-7	15	-22	15.1	14.9	0.28	11.8	14.8	-2.93
Darius Songaila	40	40	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.20	0	8	-8	16.3	14.0	2.22	15.5	12.7	2.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.88,0.83,0.75,0.75,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.7,0.6,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.34,0.22,0.19,0.36,0.31,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 112, DAL 118	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.65,0.63,0.78,0.72,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.33,0.14,0.07,0.15,0.28,1	90.8%
NYK 93, MEM 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.77,0.7,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.71,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.76,0.63,0.41,0.19,0.17,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.27,1	90.8%
PHI 88, DET 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.51,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.33,0.19,0.29,0.15,0.26,1	90.7%