inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 112 Excitement8.6 [184] MVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): +38.8%
Dallas Mavericks 118 Comeback30.6 [101] LVPStephen Jackson (GSW): -22.7%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Baron Davis0.300,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.30.140.15-0.011675%0.413-0.114100%0.04
Jason Richardson0.180,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.180.150.030.011672%0.201-0.0200%0.00
Matt Barnes0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.080.010.06-0.011552%0.112-0.0310%-0.01
Andris Biedrins0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.020.01362%0.0600.00757%-0.03
Kelenna Azubuike0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Al Harrington-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.000.000.01487%0.033-0.0500%0.00
Monta Ellis-0.040,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01531%-0.021-0.02367%-0.01
Mickael Pietrus-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.110.03-0.130.011048%-0.1100.003100%0.02
Stephen Jackson-0.230,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23-0.11-0.14-0.021444%-0.105-0.13862%-0.02

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.390.390.130.24-0.021567%0.442-0.051593%0.15
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.280.280.080.210.011162%0.311-0.03475%-0.05
Austin Croshere0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.070.040.01675%0.1100.0000%0.00
DeSagana Diop0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.000.01585%0.131-0.05333%-0.03
Devean George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.00-0.01275%0.0400.0000%0.00
Greg Buckner00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Josh Howard0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01-0.010.05-0.06-0.011661%0.123-0.13650%-0.06
Erick Dampier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Jerry Stackhouse0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.03-0.021347%0.073-0.12683%0.01
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.05-0.08-0.011146%-0.053-0.072100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game32.82.830.220.432.03.440.6162.2
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +30.6%
DAL +29.5%
DAL +7.2%
GSW -12.9%
GSW -4.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWDALNBAGSWDALNBA
this game13.216.115.4114.3120.4104.5
season13.516.3105.7108.7
opponent15.215.2102.3105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW10.513.412.917.013.2
DAL15.816.617.115.016.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kelenna Azubuike11-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-545.013.3-8.333.016.3-13.28
Al Harrington3234-0.03-0.470.450.00-1-549.715.0-5.2417.815.22.57
Andris Biedrins3028-0.07-0.430.350.10-60-613.413.20.1815.116.6-1.45
Mickael Pietrus4950-0.18-0.320.15-0.5011-172813.513.00.4917.414.82.65
Monta Ellis5856-0.21-0.290.07-0.07-5-1-412.414.4-2.0415.616.9-1.37
Matt Barnes7070-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.494-101413.413.00.3916.615.01.65
Jason Richardson8586-0.510.01-0.52-0.25-93-1213.89.44.4515.719.5-3.83
Baron Davis8282-0.550.05-0.61-0.09-1610-2614.18.75.4515.818.1-2.29
Stephen Jackson8383-0.570.07-0.65-0.37-71-813.511.71.7816.016.7-0.70

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jerry Stackhouse62620.82-0.321.130.7042216.315.80.5313.113.5-0.40
Dirk Nowitzki82820.69-0.190.870.3113-72015.619.1-3.4913.611.32.31
Josh Howard83820.62-0.120.740.2712-61815.917.7-1.8813.512.01.49
Devin Harris62650.55-0.050.600.1713-72015.517.3-1.8414.311.23.02
Jason Terry81820.400.100.310.2651416.116.3-0.1813.313.10.14
Devean George34320.010.49-0.48-0.0215-416.116.2-0.0410.714.5-3.70
Erick Dampier15160.010.49-0.480.07-28-1017.815.81.9610.413.8-3.43
Greg Buckner10-0.030.53-0.560.03-28-106.016.2-10.250.013.2-13.24
Austin Croshere2222-0.140.64-0.790.00-511-1617.915.62.2815.112.72.38
DeSagana Diop4847-0.430.93-1.35-0.16-915-2417.215.12.0512.713.7-1.00


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.65,0.63,0.78,0.72,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.33,0.14,0.07,0.15,0.28,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 103, WAS 1110.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.88,0.88,0.83,0.75,0.75,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.7,0.6,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.34,0.22,0.19,0.36,0.31,0.42,190.8%
LAC 102, DAL 1070.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.53,0.47,0.21,0.24,0.17,189.0%
SAC 100, NJN 1060.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.8,0.67,0.56,0.46,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.35,0.28,0.1,0.07,0.17,0.58,188.9%