inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 81 Excitement4.1 [1000] MVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): +14.0%
Dallas Mavericks 103 Comeback1.6 [1095] LVPAlec Burks (UTA): -16.2%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marvin Williams0.100,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.150.000.051570%0.1000.0000%0.00
Richard Jefferson0.050,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.00677%0.102-0.051100%0.01
Trey Burke0.040,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.02-0.00-0.061543%0.0410.0000%0.00
Enes Kanter0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.00460%0.0300.0020%-0.03
John Lucas III0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.00-0.02462%0.041-0.0100%0.00
Jeremy Evans0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.040.000.04371%0.0100.001100%-0.00
Rudy Gobert0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Diante Garrett0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Gordon Hayward-0.020,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.02750%0.022-0.05250%-0.01
Brandon Rush-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.000.04736%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Derrick Favors-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.020.00643%-0.014-0.102100%0.01
Alec Burks-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.23-0.01-0.0870%-0.124-0.0540%-0.04

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.130.030.02974%0.1400.00989%0.03
Brandan Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.01-0.02567%0.0800.002100%0.01
Samuel Dalembert0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.090.020.03875%0.0800.0000%0.00
Monta Ellis0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.060.010.031755%0.061-0.02683%-0.00
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.000.00656%0.0400.00450%-0.03
Jose Calderon0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.000.011155%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Bernard James00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Wayne Ellington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shane Larkin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeJuan Blair0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00444%0.021-0.0210%-0.01
Jae Crowder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.0420%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Shawn Marion0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.00-0.01560%0.023-0.0400%0.00
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.090.01-0.031132%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.21.828.716.726.42.425.6123.7
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +17.5%
DAL +11.5%
DAL +7.3%
DAL +13.0%
DAL +0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTADALNBAUTADALNBA
this game16.814.815.190.0112.0105.2
season16.215.3102.1109.0
opponent15.014.8107.0109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA17.016.517.116.816.8
DAL15.012.317.215.214.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Diante Garrett1111-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-212015.517.0-1.5816.214.61.54
Rudy Gobert1112-0.03-0.470.450.00-1-212015.517.0-1.5815.214.80.39
Marvin Williams5353-0.05-0.450.410.10-5-171216.617.2-0.6315.713.71.97
John Lucas III2929-0.15-0.350.200.03-6-161016.417.1-0.6913.715.3-1.61
Brandon Rush2728-0.18-0.320.150.06-8-14616.017.2-1.2112.915.7-2.83
Derrick Favors5049-0.20-0.300.09-0.03-6-161016.617.2-0.5915.913.62.34
Richard Jefferson4949-0.22-0.280.05-0.11-4-181417.116.50.6615.813.81.99
Enes Kanter2830-0.25-0.25-0.000.16-14-8-617.916.41.5713.415.5-2.12
Alec Burks3840-0.30-0.20-0.090.23-18-4-1416.916.80.0413.016.2-3.19
Gordon Hayward5657-0.32-0.18-0.140.09-14-8-617.216.20.9815.713.32.39
Trey Burke6163-0.35-0.15-0.200.12-16-6-1017.116.40.6915.313.71.61
Jeremy Evans3739-0.45-0.05-0.410.05-17-5-1217.216.60.6313.715.7-1.97

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vince Carter51490.56-0.060.62-0.092202213.017.1-4.0516.617.1-0.55
Jose Calderon61590.390.110.28-0.05157815.713.02.7116.717.2-0.48
Monta Ellis62620.290.210.09-0.031111015.613.12.5117.116.20.91
Shawn Marion54510.290.210.08-0.031111015.613.71.9516.517.2-0.68
Brandan Wright25250.270.230.03-0.061111012.815.6-2.7317.816.51.38
Dirk Nowitzki50490.220.28-0.060.10418-1415.813.72.0516.816.9-0.02
Devin Harris36350.160.34-0.18-0.161111013.115.9-2.7716.816.9-0.07
Jae Crowder35340.140.36-0.21-0.151012-213.515.6-2.1216.916.80.01
Samuel Dalembert44430.140.36-0.22-0.04616-1015.514.21.2516.517.1-0.59
DeJuan Blair24250.040.46-0.42-0.05319-1615.014.70.2916.916.80.05
Bernard James660.000.50-0.50-0.06220-1815.814.81.0817.316.80.52
Wayne Ellington660.000.50-0.50-0.06220-1815.814.81.0817.316.80.52
Shane Larkin660.000.50-0.50-0.06220-1815.814.81.0817.316.80.52


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.88,0.86,0.76,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 90, PHX 1150.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%
SAC 89, SAS 1070.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.99,0.98,1,195.2%
ORL 105, BOS 1200.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.1%