NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	105		Excitement	4.3 [963]		MVP	Kelly Olynyk (BOS): +13.2%
Boston Celtics	120		Comeback	1.4 [775]		LVP	Maurice Harkless (ORL): -7.9%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	11	60%	0.07	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Victor Oladipo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	17	47%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.00	0.04	6	73%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Arron Afflalo	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.02	12	62%	0.07	4	-0.06	5	80%	0.01
Ronnie Price	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Maxiell	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	9	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jameer Nelson	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	10	45%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Nicholson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	7	57%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	10	50%	0.01	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.03

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.01	-0.01	9	89%	0.15	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.02	-0.02	9	74%	0.13	1	-0.01	1	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.02	15	71%	0.16	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Jordan Crawford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	12	62%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	8	71%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	12	42%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vitor Faverani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Phil Pressey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	58%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.08	9	70%	0.04	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	30.0	0.3	25.5	2.3	27.5	110.6
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +47.5%

ORL -2.6%

ORL -6.7%

BOS +10.9%

BOS +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	BOS	NBA	ORL	BOS	NBA
this game	15.3	14.2	15.1	108.2	122.4	105.2
season	15.3	15.4		100.4	101.2
opponent	15.0	15.0		106.0	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	17.7	15.7	15.2	13.0	15.3
BOS	14.3	13.1	14.8	14.7	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Price	6	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-16	17	9.0	15.7	-6.74	14.7	14.2	0.53
Jameer Nelson	48	48	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-13	11	16.4	14.3	2.13	13.5	14.9	-1.42
Andrew Nicholson	24	27	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	-10	5	14.9	15.5	-0.59	15.4	13.8	1.63
Nikola Vucevic	58	59	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	-10	5	16.0	14.4	1.61	14.3	14.1	0.25
Arron Afflalo	79	79	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.06	-7	-8	1	15.5	14.3	1.21	14.4	13.5	0.87
Kyle O'Quinn	49	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	-4	-7	13.9	16.8	-2.87	13.9	14.5	-0.61
Victor Oladipo	55	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	-5	-5	14.5	16.5	-2.00	14.7	13.6	1.06
Jason Maxiell	63	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	-6	-3	16.0	14.1	1.94	13.9	14.8	-0.99
E'Twaun Moore	51	52	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	-1	-13	14.2	16.6	-2.37	14.2	14.3	-0.15
Maurice Harkless	52	51	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.03	-13	-2	-11	16.7	13.7	3.04	14.2	14.3	-0.14

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	40	39	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.09	20	-5	25	14.1	14.3	-0.13	16.1	14.8	1.35
Jared Sullinger	53	53	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.05	17	-2	19	13.6	14.9	-1.31	14.5	16.3	-1.79
Jordan Crawford	67	66	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.03	15	0	15	13.9	14.8	-0.90	15.3	15.5	-0.19
Avery Bradley	60	60	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	3	9	14.2	14.2	0.07	15.3	15.4	-0.10
Brandon Bass	60	59	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	12	-9	14.7	13.5	1.23	16.0	14.3	1.65
Vitor Faverani	28	27	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.00	9	6	3	14.4	14.1	0.29	16.1	15.0	1.10
Courtney Lee	38	37	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	12	-9	14.2	14.2	-0.07	15.4	15.3	0.10
Phil Pressey	30	30	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.05	2	13	-11	14.9	13.9	0.93	15.5	15.2	0.31
Kelly Olynyk	55	55	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	14	-13	14.2	14.3	-0.10	15.0	15.7	-0.70
Jeff Green	59	59	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.18	-7	22	-29	14.3	14.2	0.12	14.7	16.2	-1.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 96, MIN 113	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
DAL 67, DET 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
CHA 89, MEM 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.94,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%