inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Charlotte Bobcats 89 Excitement4.0 [1008] MVPMike Conley (MEM): +6.8%
Memphis Grizzlies 111 Comeback1.6 [1069] LVPKemba Walker (CHA): -8.6%


Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bismack Biyombo0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.010.00560%0.0400.0000%0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.080.010.051062%0.041-0.00450%0.00
Jannero Pargo0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02383%0.0010.0000%0.00
Justin Hamilton0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Josh McRoberts-0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.01-0.01944%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Gary Neal-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.03939%-0.0110.0000%0.00
Anthony Tolliver-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.060.000.07856%-0.0100.00250%0.00
Al Jefferson-0.010,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.000.010.011745%-0.0100.00475%0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist-0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.010.01837%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Cody Zeller-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.09-0.01-0.03520%-0.042-0.0200%0.00
Luke Ridnour-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.01-0.01617%-0.061-0.0300%0.00
Kemba Walker-0.090,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.10-0.01-0.031337%-0.023-0.074100%0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Conley0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.03-0.011853%0.122-0.05250%-0.01
Zach Randolph0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.09-0.010.02773%0.091-0.03875%-0.02
Courtney Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.000.01669%0.0600.001100%0.00
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.010.01480%0.071-0.032100%0.01
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.050.000.05475%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Ed Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tayshaun Prince0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.00540%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Tony Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.00-0.01657%0.052-0.0520%-0.04
Marc Gasol0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.01-0.001250%0.042-0.044100%0.02
Jon Leuer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.030.000.04862%-0.0110.0000%0.00
Nick Calathes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.03520%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kosta Koufos0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.000.051148%-0.042-0.02367%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.62.529.415.725.32.426.5126.3
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +44.5%
MEM +1.7%
MEM +9.3%
CHA -6.4%
MEM +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHAMEMNBACHAMEMNBA
this game15.514.915.193.7116.8105.2
season15.716.4102.4104.5
opponent15.215.1103.4103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHA17.415.816.112.815.5
MEM14.714.814.515.314.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jannero Pargo10110.00-0.500.500.03-1-212010.416.0-5.6514.814.9-0.05
Justin Hamilton990.00-0.500.500.03-1-212010.716.0-5.2913.315.0-1.69
Luke Ridnour2929-0.03-0.470.430.08-4-181415.815.30.4416.114.31.83
Bismack Biyombo3636-0.03-0.470.430.05-3-191613.816.4-2.6115.914.21.74
Josh McRoberts3938-0.05-0.450.39-0.050-222216.314.91.4116.813.53.30
Anthony Tolliver4446-0.17-0.330.150.06-8-14615.115.8-0.7214.814.9-0.03
Chris Douglas-Roberts6059-0.24-0.260.030.11-12-10-214.816.5-1.6415.014.60.41
Gary Neal5556-0.27-0.23-0.040.14-14-8-615.016.1-1.0714.814.9-0.10
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist4140-0.32-0.18-0.140.00-11-11016.114.91.1814.715.0-0.28
Cody Zeller4646-0.45-0.05-0.390.17-21-1-2015.815.10.7713.216.4-3.15
Al Jefferson5050-0.47-0.03-0.430.06-18-4-1417.513.24.2814.415.4-1.06
Kemba Walker5655-0.47-0.03-0.430.03-17-5-1216.214.41.8114.215.8-1.57

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Courtney Lee52540.52-0.020.53-0.102112014.215.7-1.5716.414.22.26
Marc Gasol47490.470.030.44-0.061841414.415.3-0.9516.913.92.94
Zach Randolph57590.400.100.29-0.101751214.815.0-0.2716.413.92.47
Mike Conley57580.350.150.21-0.09157815.813.52.2315.914.81.14
Tony Allen43420.170.33-0.15-0.181210215.114.60.5015.715.30.38
Mike Miller40380.170.33-0.16-0.09913-415.314.50.8415.515.40.04
Nick Calathes38370.150.35-0.21-0.06715-813.515.8-2.2314.815.9-1.14
Tayshaun Prince34350.140.36-0.22-0.01517-1215.414.60.8116.414.91.50
Jon Leuer38360.100.40-0.29-0.04517-1215.014.80.2713.916.4-2.47
Kosta Koufos39370.030.47-0.44-0.06319-1615.814.21.5814.715.9-1.18
Beno Udrih990.000.50-0.50-0.03121-2013.315.0-1.6910.716.0-5.29
James Johnson12120.000.50-0.500.12-426-3015.014.80.1611.116.1-5.00
Ed Davis990.000.50-0.50-0.03121-2013.315.0-1.6910.716.0-5.29


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.94,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 105, BOS 1200.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.5%
LAL 81, SAS 1050.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.83,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%
ORL 79, ATL 910.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,195.5%