NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	79		Excitement	4.1 [608]		MVP	Chris Crawford (ATL): +14.4%
Atlanta Hawks	91		Comeback	1.7 [285]		LVP	Anfernee Hardaway (ORL): -14.3%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Strong	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	6	71%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.01	13	58%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
B.J. Armstrong	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	5	44%	0.00	1	0.00	6	50%	-0.00
Dominique Wilkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Michael Doleac	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	6	56%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Dan Schayes	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Anderson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	6	28%	-0.09	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.03
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.04	-0.05	17	38%	-0.11	3	-0.03	8	37%	-0.08

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.03	-0.00	8	88%	0.15	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	-0.01	0.02	20	71%	0.19	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Steven Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	17	54%	0.08	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Mark West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	33%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Roshown McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	12	44%	0.01	1	-0.01	3	0%	-0.02
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0	75%	0.00	2	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Ed Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	-0.01	-0.07	3	20%	-0.02	2	-0.03	4	50%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	5	21%	-0.07	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.8	29.1	15.4	24.4	1.5	36.3	131.0
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +51.6%

ATL +6.4%

ORL -4.0%

ORL -7.9%

ATL +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	ATL	NBA	ORL	ATL	NBA
this game	17.0	16.5	15.8	91.9	105.8	99.6
season	16.1	16.7		98.0	97.2
opponent	16.3	15.6		94.9	95.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.6	18.1	21.2	13.4	17.0
ATL	16.9	17.9	15.9	15.4	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	38	39	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.26	9	-21	30	13.9	19.5	-5.63	17.3	15.8	1.47
Dominique Wilkins	15	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.09	3	-15	18	10.0	18.5	-8.52	12.6	17.3	-4.67
B.J. Armstrong	17	18	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.03	-2	-10	8	12.3	18.2	-5.91	14.8	16.9	-2.12
Dan Schayes	26	26	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-9	6	19.5	16.0	3.53	17.2	16.1	1.11
Matt Harpring	46	47	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-14	16	17.6	16.4	1.14	16.1	16.9	-0.77
Derek Strong	28	28	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.18	2	-14	16	18.7	16.2	2.49	17.9	15.8	2.13
Michael Doleac	38	40	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.05	-12	0	-12	14.5	19.0	-4.49	15.2	17.5	-2.25
Nick Anderson	46	45	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.14	-9	-3	-6	17.1	16.9	0.21	17.9	14.8	3.10
Darrell Armstrong	62	60	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.01	-15	3	-18	17.9	14.9	2.94	16.4	16.6	-0.23
Anfernee Hardaway	66	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.05	-14	2	-16	18.4	12.5	5.91	16.9	15.0	1.86
Horace Grant	48	47	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.11	-21	9	-30	19.5	13.9	5.63	15.8	17.3	-1.47

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mookie Blaylock	62	63	0.61	-0.11	0.71	-0.01	21	-9	30	16.5	16.4	0.11	19.0	11.7	7.23
Steven Smith	64	63	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.06	15	-3	18	16.9	15.2	1.65	18.8	12.2	6.58
Grant Long	76	77	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	1	10	17.7	7.2	10.47	18.2	6.9	11.33
Dikembe Mutombo	62	61	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	-1	14	16.8	15.6	1.15	17.5	15.8	1.68
Chris Crawford	49	50	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.04	12	0	12	16.8	15.9	0.89	19.1	14.2	4.84
Tyrone Corbin	37	36	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.11	0	12	-12	15.9	16.8	-0.89	14.2	19.1	-4.84
Mark West	23	24	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.07	-1	13	-14	16.2	16.5	-0.32	16.5	17.2	-0.74
Roshown McLeod	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	11	-10	7.2	17.7	-10.47	6.9	18.2	-11.33
Ed Gray	14	13	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.04	0	12	-12	12.4	17.2	-4.89	9.2	18.4	-9.19
Anthony Johnson	33	34	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.28	-12	24	-36	16.9	16.2	0.69	12.7	19.9	-7.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 106, TOR 118	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
CHA 89, MEM 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.94,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
UTA 91, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.3%