NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	95		Excitement	5.0 [844]		MVP	Chase Budinger (MIN): +13.5%
Chicago Bulls	86		Comeback	1.1 [947]		LVP	Tony Snell (CHI): -16.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chase Budinger	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.03	0.00	7	86%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.02	0.02	17	65%	0.21	3	-0.09	14	100%	0.07
Ronny Turiaf	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.01	0.00	7	82%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	9	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	8	69%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alexey Shved	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	43%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jose Juan Barea	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	8	45%	-0.01	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	5	64%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	12	57%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Cartier Martin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.05	-0.00	15	56%	0.07	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	0.04	11	45%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	24	40%	-0.08	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	7	14%	-0.10	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	1.8	29.3	16.2	28.2	1.8	33.2	131.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +43.9%

MIN +5.6%

CHI -4.7%

MIN +3.9%

MIN +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CHI	NBA	MIN	CHI	NBA
this game	13.8	16.5	15.1	100.0	90.5	105.2
season	14.6	16.3		107.3	101.1
opponent	15.3	14.5		99.6	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.9	13.3	13.5	14.8	13.8
CHI	17.4	15.5	17.3	15.8	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Brewer	70	70	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.21	6	3	3	13.3	15.3	-2.02	16.3	17.0	-0.65
Chase Budinger	40	38	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.15	6	3	3	13.2	14.3	-1.05	17.2	16.0	1.25
Kevin Love	71	71	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.16	4	5	-1	14.0	13.4	0.61	16.1	17.6	-1.47
Jose Juan Barea	33	34	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.10	6	3	3	14.9	13.3	1.60	17.4	16.0	1.49
Ricky Rubio	62	61	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.14	3	6	-3	13.3	14.9	-1.60	16.0	17.4	-1.49
Dante Cunningham	24	24	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.08	5	4	1	13.4	14.0	-0.61	17.6	16.1	1.47
Ronny Turiaf	66	66	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.14	2	7	-5	14.2	13.0	1.20	15.5	18.8	-3.37
Gorgui Dieng	18	18	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	8	-7	12.7	14.1	-1.44	17.9	16.1	1.80
Kevin Martin	55	57	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.09	3	6	-3	14.3	13.2	1.05	16.0	17.2	-1.25
Nikola Pekovic	11	11	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.05	6	3	3	13.5	13.9	-0.32	20.3	16.0	4.28
Alexey Shved	18	18	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	6	-3	12.7	14.1	-1.37	16.6	16.5	0.09
Luc Mbah a Moute	7	7	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	9	-9	22.0	13.2	8.82	18.0	16.4	1.64

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cartier Martin	2	3	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-6	3	15.5	16.5	-1.01	10.7	13.9	-3.27
Mike James	18	17	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-4	-1	17.3	16.3	1.05	12.3	14.2	-1.87
Taj Gibson	68	69	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.13	-4	-5	1	16.0	17.8	-1.86	14.3	12.5	1.83
Jimmy Butler	79	80	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.26	0	-9	9	16.3	17.6	-1.37	14.1	12.1	2.02
Nazr Mohammed	44	45	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-5	1	17.3	15.8	1.51	13.3	14.3	-1.03
D.J. Augustin	77	78	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-5	1	16.3	17.3	-1.05	14.2	12.3	1.87
Tony Snell	45	45	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-4	-1	17.7	15.4	2.29	14.5	13.3	1.21
Mike Dunleavy	66	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.02	-13	4	-17	15.9	17.7	-1.78	13.0	15.6	-2.63
Carlos Boozer	76	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.20	-7	-2	-5	16.5	16.4	0.14	13.8	13.9	-0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.28,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 97, MIL 83	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.19,0.26,0.23,0.16,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.19,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
ATL 97, MEM 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.33,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.22,0.28,0.15,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
LAL 100, NOH 86	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.35,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.12,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%