inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 100 Excitement4.6 [938] MVPKobe Bryant (LAL): +13.7%
New Orleans Hornets 86 Comeback1.1 [1056] LVPWillie Green (NOH): -7.8%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kobe Bryant0.140,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.120.030.022064%0.214-0.07786%0.01
Pau Gasol0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.020.04-0.011361%0.143-0.072100%0.02
Steve Blake0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.020.001150%0.0600.0000%0.00
Derek Fisher0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.06-0.000.02483%0.071-0.04475%-0.00
Metta World Peace0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.04-0.000.01853%0.0200.001100%0.00
Lamar Odom0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.030.04859%0.063-0.06683%0.02
Joe Smith0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shannon Brown-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.03-0.00-0.02425%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Andrew Bynum-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.011350%0.012-0.052100%0.01
Matt Barnes-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01420%-0.0400.0020%-0.03

New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carl Landry0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.020.021264%0.173-0.091292%0.04
Chris Paul0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.04-0.00-0.001371%0.165-0.12560%-0.02
Jason Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.060.000.033100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Emeka Okafor0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.02-0.00975%0.074-0.06250%-0.01
DJ Mbenga0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.000.00050%-0.0000.00250%-0.02
Aaron Gray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Marco Belinelli0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.01-0.02831%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Jarrett Jack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.02617%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Trevor Ariza0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.020.011341%-0.0610.00367%0.00
Quincy Pondexter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.030.0030%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Willie Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.0040%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.43.529.318.731.13.434.7145.0
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +37.2%
LAL +1.5%
LAL +11.1%
LAL +0.3%
NOH -0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALNOHNBALALNOHNBA
this game18.415.715.5119.0101.2105.7
season15.916.2108.8104.6
opponent15.915.5104.4103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL15.521.817.519.418.4
NOH15.216.915.215.815.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Pau Gasol60600.480.020.46-0.0217-32018.518.10.4315.117.2-2.17
Kobe Bryant62620.360.140.23-0.0815-11617.321.4-4.0915.815.40.43
Derek Fisher57590.320.180.15-0.1516-21817.021.3-4.2215.715.70.02
Andrew Bynum60620.300.200.11-0.051221018.019.5-1.4916.314.22.10
Metta World Peace53540.240.26-0.01-0.08113817.819.4-1.5816.015.20.81
Lamar Odom42410.210.29-0.070.18113-1218.917.90.9316.814.72.08
Matt Barnes27280.200.30-0.100.23-115-1619.917.72.1515.116.0-0.95
Shannon Brown30310.190.31-0.110.08410-620.617.13.4914.516.4-1.82
Steve Blake27260.180.32-0.150.24-216-1821.317.04.2215.715.7-0.02
Joe Smith220.000.50-0.500.09-317-2013.018.5-5.5210.515.8-5.33

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Aaron Gray1212-0.01-0.490.480.02-1-131215.915.70.2518.218.4-0.26
Quincy Pondexter1112-0.03-0.470.44-0.154-182217.415.51.9015.318.9-3.57
Jason Smith1619-0.07-0.430.360.02-3-11814.715.9-1.2518.418.40.04
DJ Mbenga77-0.09-0.410.31-0.04-2-121014.015.9-1.8620.618.22.38
Willie Green2020-0.13-0.370.25-0.07-2-121016.115.60.5222.917.05.92
Marco Belinelli4341-0.28-0.22-0.060.10-13-1-1215.416.0-0.5816.720.0-3.34
Jarrett Jack3635-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.07-8-6-216.415.21.2320.416.93.49
Trevor Ariza7573-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.02-11-3-815.715.8-0.1118.219.4-1.12
Emeka Okafor7271-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.03-12-2-1016.213.22.9218.119.9-1.81
Chris Paul7071-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.06-12-2-1015.218.3-3.1117.821.8-3.99
Carl Landry6359-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.14-10-4-615.616.0-0.4018.518.10.39


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.35,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.12,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 105, CHI 920.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.29,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,095.1%
MIN 95, CHI 860.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.28,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,094.9%
ATL 97, MEM 880.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.33,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.22,0.28,0.15,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,094.8%