NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	97		Excitement	4.6 [905]		MVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): +14.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	88		Comeback	1.1 [391]		LVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): -8.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Smith	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.04	0.03	9	84%	0.17	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	12	63%	0.11	2	-0.04	11	73%	-0.02
Speedy Claxton	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	15	59%	0.08	5	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Royal Ivey	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	4	67%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Shelden Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	10	54%	0.06	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Salim Stoudamire	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Freije	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Bozeman	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	14	45%	0.02	5	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.05	-0.02	8	62%	0.14	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	42%	-0.00	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	12	53%	0.07	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.04
Alexander Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.02	0.06	7	68%	0.03	3	-0.08	8	87%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	8	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.11	11	64%	-0.04	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	9	48%	0.03	4	-0.11	5	100%	0.03
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	33%	-0.04	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.5	29.4	15.3	29.3	1.8	36.0	138.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +48.3%

MEM -19.6%

ATL +4.4%

ATL +16.1%

ATL +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MEM	NBA	ATL	MEM	NBA
this game	14.7	17.0	15.4	105.4	97.8	104.5
season	16.1	15.1		101.1	105.1
opponent	15.1	15.3		110.1	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.2	14.7	13.3	15.7	14.7
MEM	18.4	16.6	16.7	16.4	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	79	78	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.01	20	-11	31	14.3	17.5	-3.21	17.9	10.7	7.27
Speedy Claxton	74	73	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	-4	17	14.5	15.6	-1.12	17.7	13.6	4.09
Josh Smith	70	69	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.16	11	-2	13	14.8	14.3	0.57	17.6	15.0	2.63
Marvin Williams	64	64	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.24	8	1	7	14.2	15.9	-1.65	17.1	16.6	0.49
Tyronn Lue	57	55	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.26	2	7	-5	15.9	12.8	3.03	16.4	17.9	-1.55
Royal Ivey	38	37	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.00	10	-1	11	12.4	16.3	-3.94	17.3	16.7	0.61
Cedric Bozeman	17	15	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	12	-15	14.6	14.7	-0.07	13.9	17.6	-3.72
Shelden Williams	23	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	13	-17	16.4	14.1	2.25	14.5	17.8	-3.32
Matt Freije	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	10	-11	4.5	14.9	-10.43	8.0	17.1	-9.07
Salim Stoudamire	17	18	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	14	-19	17.2	14.1	3.03	14.4	17.6	-3.22
Lorenzen Wright	19	18	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.07	-6	15	-21	16.7	14.2	2.49	16.6	17.1	-0.44

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Jones	14	14	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-10	11	14.8	17.4	-2.58	17.1	14.3	2.87
Alexander Johnson	53	55	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.51	14	-23	37	16.1	18.2	-2.12	16.2	12.5	3.67
Damon Stoudamire	51	51	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-2	-5	18.0	15.6	2.34	14.3	15.2	-0.88
Rudy Gay	47	49	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.22	-1	-8	7	15.8	18.3	-2.47	14.9	14.5	0.45
Hakim Warrick	59	59	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.10	-8	-1	-7	17.5	16.0	1.43	14.2	15.5	-1.31
Pau Gasol	33	33	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.27	-22	13	-35	18.9	15.8	3.11	12.8	15.8	-3.04
Chucky Atkins	61	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.27	-4	-5	1	16.4	18.2	-1.78	15.2	13.7	1.54
Dahntay Jones	59	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.13	-9	0	-9	17.1	16.7	0.34	14.3	15.6	-1.33
Mike Miller	73	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.15	-9	0	-9	17.2	16.1	1.05	14.5	15.7	-1.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.33,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.22,0.28,0.15,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 112, DET 101	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.29,0.32,0.2,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0	95.0%
MIN 95, CHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.28,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.9%
LAL 100, NOH 86	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.35,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.12,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%