NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	103		Excitement	7.4 [343]		MVP	Manny Harris (LAL): +30.8%
New York Knicks	110		Comeback	1.8 [832]		LVP	Iman Shumpert (NYK): -11.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manny Harris	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.15	0.16	0.00	9	82%	0.33	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jodie Meeks	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.18	0.01	-0.00	13	86%	0.30	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Kendall Marshall	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.02	0.08	-0.01	11	55%	0.13	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Kelly	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	2	125%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	8	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Sacre	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	3	62%	0.00	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Young	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	11	50%	-0.03	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.04	-0.09	0.04	15	56%	-0.03	1	-0.06	6	67%	-0.04

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.15,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.12	0.16	-0.00	12	72%	0.31	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.03
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.17	0.05	0.04	10	91%	0.21	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.00	31	51%	0.18	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	12	57%	0.12	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	11	52%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Tyler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Iman Shumpert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	7	36%	-0.01	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	3.5	31.0	17.8	26.4	2.5	34.4	139.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +5.0%

NYK +1.2%

NYK +40.2%

NYK +4.4%

LAL -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NYK	NBA	LAL	NYK	NBA
this game	14.4	17.1	15.1	113.2	119.6	105.2
season	14.0	16.0		102.9	106.4
opponent	15.4	14.8		107.6	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.0	15.6	15.5	13.3	14.4
NYK	16.3	15.7	17.2	19.4	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Hill	34	34	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.09	6	-13	19	13.5	14.9	-1.36	16.6	17.4	-0.78
Robert Sacre	11	11	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-9	11	14.7	14.3	0.43	15.9	17.3	-1.36
Manny Harris	38	40	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.13	4	-11	15	13.3	15.1	-1.82	16.4	17.6	-1.21
Wesley Johnson	44	47	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-9	11	14.1	14.6	-0.46	16.2	18.0	-1.79
Ryan Kelly	39	39	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	-1	-5	14.7	14.1	0.69	17.7	16.7	1.06
Nick Young	63	64	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.15	-13	6	-19	14.8	13.4	1.38	17.6	16.0	1.65
Pau Gasol	73	74	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.28	-9	2	-11	14.3	14.7	-0.46	17.3	16.4	0.83
Jodie Meeks	83	82	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.33	-8	1	-9	14.4	14.2	0.11	17.1	17.1	0.01
Kendall Marshall	70	70	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.17	-15	8	-23	14.9	12.5	2.44	17.3	16.4	0.92

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	57	56	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.37	11	-4	15	17.0	17.3	-0.24	14.8	13.7	1.08
Raymond Felton	69	67	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.33	11	-4	15	17.0	17.5	-0.55	14.5	13.8	0.70
Carmelo Anthony	76	76	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.28	8	-1	9	17.1	17.4	-0.32	14.4	14.3	0.10
J.R. Smith	72	71	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.27	6	1	5	17.7	15.1	2.50	14.1	15.4	-1.34
Tim Hardaway Jr.	49	49	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.35	-1	8	-9	18.5	15.5	3.04	13.2	15.6	-2.40
Iman Shumpert	51	50	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.11	10	-3	13	15.8	18.7	-2.84	15.3	13.2	2.06
Jeremy Tyler	18	18	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.01	-2	9	-11	17.5	17.0	0.49	14.1	14.4	-0.37
Pablo Prigioni	43	44	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.01	-3	10	-13	16.4	17.7	-1.30	14.5	14.2	0.38
Cole Aldrich	25	24	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.01	-5	12	-17	17.0	17.1	-0.15	13.9	14.5	-0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.84,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 74, NYK 82	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.67,0.65,0.48,0.52,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.61,0.72,0.94,0.99,1	93.3%
DEN 95, CHA 107	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.51,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.92,0.9,0.99,1	93.1%
CLE 91, GSW 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.47,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.61,0.8,0.96,0.99,1,1	93.0%