NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	95		Excitement	7.4 [312]		MVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): +20.9%
Charlotte Bobcats	107		Comeback	2.0 [641]		LVP	Chauncey Billups (DEN): -18.7%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.03	-0.02	22	62%	0.28	6	-0.22	11	91%	0.03
Chris Andersen	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	4	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
J.R. Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	16	48%	0.03	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
Nene	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Joey Graham	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.07	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Ty Lawson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Arron Afflalo	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19	-0.08	-0.14	-0.03	11	50%	-0.00	5	-0.19	6	100%	0.04

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.10	0.02	7	100%	0.24	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.06	0.01	7	62%	0.12	0	0.00	10	90%	0.04
Gerald Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	-0.01	16	58%	0.17	2	-0.06	11	73%	-0.06
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	5	83%	0.18	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.09	0.01	19	53%	0.20	4	-0.15	9	100%	0.03
Derrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	1	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	10	35%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.04	-0.03	2	17%	-0.04	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	2.7	32.3	15.8	30.2	2.5	32.3	143.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +42.2%

DEN -5.1%

CHA +10.6%

CHA +1.5%

CHA +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	CHA	NBA	DEN	CHA	NBA
this game	14.0	15.9	15.3	97.9	111.5	106.0
season	14.4	16.2		110.3	103.0
opponent	15.4	15.5		101.8	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	13.6	14.2	12.3	16.0	14.0
CHA	14.1	15.2	17.7	16.7	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joey Graham	37	38	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.03	5	-17	22	13.9	14.0	-0.07	17.5	14.8	2.75
Renaldo Balkman	15	16	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.02	2	-14	16	14.6	13.9	0.72	15.8	15.9	-0.06
Ty Lawson	37	38	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.11	1	-13	14	14.3	13.8	0.45	15.5	16.1	-0.56
Arron Afflalo	49	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.26	-16	4	-20	13.4	14.6	-1.13	16.9	14.9	2.05
Carmelo Anthony	87	86	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.17	-8	-4	-4	13.7	16.4	-2.69	15.4	20.1	-4.73
Nene	72	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	0	-12	13.8	14.6	-0.88	16.4	14.5	1.87
Chauncey Billups	67	64	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.10	-14	2	-16	14.2	13.4	0.81	16.2	15.2	1.06
J.R. Smith	60	61	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.19	-12	0	-12	14.2	13.6	0.68	15.1	17.2	-2.15
Chris Andersen	61	61	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.38	-6	-6	0	14.3	13.5	0.78	14.8	17.8	-3.00

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nazr Mohammed	45	45	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.09	23	-11	34	15.3	16.3	-1.00	14.5	13.5	1.01
Raymond Felton	70	72	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.07	23	-11	34	15.7	16.2	-0.50	14.0	14.1	-0.12
Stephen Jackson	85	86	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.19	13	-1	14	15.7	17.0	-1.28	14.1	13.5	0.60
Gerald Wallace	88	89	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.17	13	-1	14	15.8	16.7	-0.97	14.1	12.6	1.49
Ronald Murray	27	28	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.15	11	1	10	14.9	16.3	-1.41	16.5	13.0	3.53
Boris Diaw	62	62	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.02	4	8	-4	16.5	14.6	1.89	13.1	15.5	-2.43
Gerald Henderson	6	6	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.08	4	8	-4	22.5	15.4	7.08	13.0	14.1	-1.05
Derrick Brown	20	20	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	12	-12	13.0	16.6	-3.62	13.6	14.1	-0.49
DeSagana Diop	3	5	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.02	-5	17	-22	20.0	15.7	4.27	14.4	14.0	0.43
Stephen Graham	21	20	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.02	-5	17	-22	16.3	15.7	0.54	12.5	14.4	-1.88
D.J. Augustin	26	25	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.08	-11	23	-34	16.2	15.7	0.50	14.1	14.0	0.12
Tyson Chandler	27	27	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.01	-10	22	-32	16.8	15.5	1.32	13.4	14.2	-0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.51,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.92,0.9,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 103, NYK 110	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.84,0.97,0.98,1	93.1%
CLE 91, GSW 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.47,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.61,0.8,0.96,0.99,1,1	92.7%
OKC 92, NYK 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.57,0.52,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.69,0.91,0.67,0.81,0.97,1,0.98,1	92.4%