NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	74		Excitement	7.4 [187]		MVP	Marcus Camby (NYK): +4.7%
New York Knicks	82		Comeback	1.9 [432]		LVP	Patrick Ewing (NYK): -30.3%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Burrell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damon Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Murdock	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	5	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kendall Gill	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	14	48%	-0.05	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Gatling	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15	-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	17	34%	-0.04	2	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Jayson Williams	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16	-0.13	-0.06	-0.04	5	8%	-0.14	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Sam Cassell	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.06	0.01	14	50%	-0.03	5	-0.15	8	100%	0.05
Kerry Kittles	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	21	29%	-0.19	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.04	0.00	7	56%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	6	79%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	72%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27,-0.25,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.12	0.11	-0.02	11	54%	0.19	7	-0.18	4	100%	0.03
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	7	62%	0.09	3	-0.16	2	50%	-0.04
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	6	33%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.25,-0.25,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.22	-0.11	-0.03	21	38%	-0.15	5	-0.15	10	40%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.8	28.5	15.6	25.3	2.3	38.3	134.4
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +90.0%

NJN -14.2%

NJN -6.8%

NJN -21.2%

NYK +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	NYK	NBA	NJN	NYK	NBA
this game	15.8	14.5	15.8	77.9	86.3	99.6
season	15.0	16.0		96.5	97.0
opponent	16.6	15.6		95.1	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.8	19.5	14.6	14.8	15.8
NYK	16.5	13.3	14.8	13.5	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim McIlvaine	40	38	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.06	10	-18	28	15.4	16.1	-0.64	14.8	14.3	0.54
Scott Burrell	35	35	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.09	6	-14	20	16.6	15.4	1.19	14.0	14.8	-0.78
Damon Jones	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-10	12	1.0	16.0	-14.98	5.5	14.7	-9.19
Eric Murdock	31	32	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.09	2	-10	12	18.6	14.5	4.14	15.3	14.1	1.19
Chris Gatling	15	18	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-2	-4	17.5	15.5	1.95	14.2	14.6	-0.34
Keith Van Horn	80	79	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-3	-2	15.5	17.5	-1.95	14.5	14.4	0.07
Sam Cassell	69	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.15	-9	1	-10	14.8	18.5	-3.64	14.4	14.7	-0.29
Kerry Kittles	81	80	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.22	-10	2	-12	16.0	14.5	1.55	14.7	13.5	1.14
Kendall Gill	68	68	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.18	-15	7	-22	15.1	17.6	-2.47	14.5	14.4	0.07
Jayson Williams	55	55	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.28	-15	7	-22	16.1	15.4	0.64	14.3	14.7	-0.35

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Childs	53	53	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.29	11	-3	14	15.0	13.9	1.10	16.0	15.6	0.32
Patrick Ewing	77	76	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.12	16	-8	24	13.9	17.1	-3.16	16.5	13.3	3.20
Larry Johnson	71	72	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.13	15	-7	22	14.3	15.1	-0.79	16.0	15.3	0.62
Charlie Ward	76	76	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.10	13	-5	18	13.7	17.7	-3.99	16.1	14.7	1.42
Allan Houston	70	70	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.24	1	7	-6	14.8	13.6	1.16	14.9	18.5	-3.66
Kurt Thomas	54	53	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.01	9	-1	10	14.9	14.0	0.91	16.1	15.5	0.53
Rick Brunson	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	10	-12	5.5	14.7	-9.19	2.0	16.1	-14.12
Marcus Camby	39	40	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.21	-9	17	-26	15.0	14.2	0.81	16.0	15.7	0.35
Dennis Scott	24	23	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.13	-7	15	-22	15.1	14.3	0.79	15.3	16.0	-0.62
Chris Dudley	9	10	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.06	-7	15	-22	18.7	14.1	4.61	15.5	15.9	-0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.67,0.65,0.48,0.52,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.61,0.72,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 103, NYK 110	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.84,0.97,0.98,1	93.3%
BOS 79, MIL 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.48,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.67,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.52,0.54,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.89,0.98,1	93.1%
UTA 88, CHA 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.67,0.61,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.72,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.91,1,1	92.9%