inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 87 Excitement7.4 [342] MVPCourtney Lee (MEM): +27.0%
Memphis Grizzlies 90 Comeback2.5 [447] LVPReggie Jackson (OKC): -19.2%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.110.110.000.012857%0.254-0.14978%0.02
Derek Fisher0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.03-0.00530%0.0100.0000%0.00
Steven Adams0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00545%0.0100.001100%0.00
Serge Ibaka0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01-0.030.01-0.031342%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Nick Collison-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.00-0.010.04150%0.001-0.05475%-0.01
Jeremy Lamb-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.00941%-0.021-0.03475%-0.00
Kendrick Perkins-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.030.00250%-0.003-0.0900%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.01-0.0140%-0.072-0.0400%0.00
Reggie Jackson-0.190,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19-0.07-0.13-0.011457%0.027-0.222100%0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Courtney Lee0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.270.270.140.12-0.011571%0.311-0.044100%0.04
Marc Gasol0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.080.080.020.06-0.00755%0.101-0.02875%-0.00
James Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.010.05-0.01540%0.0500.0000%0.00
Mike Conley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.030.030.010.020.001849%0.081-0.053100%0.03
Ed Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.03-0.00650%0.062-0.0600%0.00
Jon Leuer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Zach Randolph0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.100.06-0.022143%0.084-0.101275%-0.00
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00425%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Nick Calathes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Kosta Koufos0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.060.00-0.0110%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.03-0.0110%-0.011-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.52.732.216.327.21.037.1139.9
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +26.7%
MEM +8.0%
OKC -10.5%
MEM +22.0%
MEM +3.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCMEMNBAOKCMEMNBA
this game14.216.815.193.596.8105.2
season14.416.4107.8104.5
opponent15.215.4103.4102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC13.615.814.413.014.2
MEM17.016.217.716.316.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nick Collison38370.08-0.580.66-0.3916-193513.914.4-0.4914.818.1-3.28
Steven Adams41390.03-0.530.57-0.2610-132314.314.10.2016.616.9-0.29
Derek Fisher4041-0.05-0.450.40-0.3410-132314.114.2-0.1016.317.1-0.79
Jeremy Lamb5757-0.14-0.360.23-0.4912-152713.615.1-1.5616.217.7-1.57
Kendrick Perkins3232-0.34-0.17-0.170.13-1613-2915.213.61.6317.716.31.38
Thabo Sefolosha3636-0.36-0.14-0.230.08-1512-2715.113.61.5617.716.21.57
Reggie Jackson7677-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.28-41-514.413.40.9416.617.7-1.09
Kevin Durant8081-0.590.09-0.68-0.27-118-1913.717.2-3.4517.015.71.28
Serge Ibaka6565-0.740.24-0.98-0.24-1714-3114.214.20.0117.914.33.58

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tayshaun Prince65670.75-0.251.000.2816-132917.515.22.2514.313.90.36
Courtney Lee68700.70-0.200.900.2615-122717.215.61.6814.313.70.65
Mike Conley70690.54-0.040.570.2410-71716.816.70.1214.613.01.54
Zach Randolph77790.53-0.030.550.298-51317.015.71.2513.617.5-3.91
Marc Gasol45450.410.100.310.294-1517.516.11.3214.513.90.68
Ed Davis44430.240.26-0.030.124-1516.217.3-1.1914.713.80.91
James Johnson40380.060.44-0.380.35-1013-2316.417.0-0.5913.914.4-0.44
Nick Calathes2021-0.070.57-0.640.08-58-1315.717.1-1.3212.314.7-2.39
Jon Leuer86-0.130.63-0.76-0.01-47-1114.417.0-2.6413.214.3-1.09
Kosta Koufos66-0.140.64-0.780.03-69-1515.216.9-1.7317.014.03.01
Mike Miller2221-0.370.87-1.250.12-1720-3715.317.3-1.9814.314.20.13


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.32,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.91,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 95, MIA 1020.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.69,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.84,0.9,193.1%
IND 88, CHH 940.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.63,0.79,0.71,0.82,0.81,0.96,0.93,0.92,193.1%
ATL 132, BOS 1370.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.43,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.94,0.87,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,192.4%