NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	88		Excitement	7.0 [426]		MVP	Baron Davis (CHH): +20.3%
Charlotte Hornets	94		Comeback	1.4 [799]		LVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): -28.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonathan Bender	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	6	72%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Kevin Ollie	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05	-0.02	0.05	-0.02	1	67%	0.05	1	0.00	4	50%	0.02
Austin Croshere	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	13	62%	0.10	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	10	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	-0.04	15	53%	0.05	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.05
Brad Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ron Mercer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.03	0.02	13	46%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.18	-0.11	-0.00	9	20%	-0.15	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.02

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2	0.20	0.07	0.14	0.01	21	57%	0.27	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.04	0.01	9	72%	0.11	0	0.00	7	86%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	3	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.01	16	44%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	-0.04	6	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.13,-0.23	-0.23	-0.15	-0.08	0.00	24	36%	-0.16	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.4	25.5	15.7	23.3	2.4	33.5	129.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +29.4%

IND -19.9%

CHH +39.9%

IND -5.0%

CHH +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHH	NBA	IND	CHH	NBA
this game	15.8	17.1	15.6	100.0	108.0	102.3
season	15.3	15.9		101.6	102.2
opponent	15.6	15.4		101.1	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.2	16.8	16.8	13.2	15.8
CHH	17.3	15.9	16.7	18.7	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathan Bender	51	53	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.25	9	-15	24	15.1	16.8	-1.70	16.9	17.5	-0.58
Kevin Ollie	31	31	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.22	6	-12	18	14.6	16.4	-1.74	18.3	16.5	1.77
Ron Mercer	14	15	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-3	0	17.6	15.4	2.14	16.5	17.3	-0.83
Jeff Foster	19	17	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-8	10	13.1	16.5	-3.47	18.5	16.8	1.64
Brad Miller	36	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	1	-8	16.9	15.0	1.84	16.9	17.3	-0.44
Austin Croshere	50	52	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.33	6	-12	18	15.4	16.3	-0.96	17.0	17.4	-0.42
Reggie Miller	65	62	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.27	1	-7	8	15.3	17.0	-1.66	17.4	16.6	0.71
Jamaal Tinsley	57	56	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.10	-12	6	-18	16.4	14.6	1.74	16.5	18.3	-1.77
Jermaine O'Neal	70	71	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.30	-11	5	-16	16.5	13.1	3.35	17.1	17.4	-0.35
Metta World Peace	47	44	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.09	-21	15	-36	16.3	15.2	1.13	17.4	16.9	0.43

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elden Campbell	54	55	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.26	13	-7	20	18.6	14.7	3.95	16.1	15.2	0.90
Baron Davis	82	82	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.29	12	-6	18	16.9	21.2	-4.30	15.9	14.0	1.90
P.J. Brown	49	51	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.15	8	-2	10	16.6	17.9	-1.28	15.6	16.1	-0.49
Lee Nailon	22	20	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.23	1	5	-4	18.8	16.6	2.23	16.2	15.6	0.55
David Wesley	60	61	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	4	-2	17.3	16.8	0.54	16.0	15.2	0.79
Jamal Mashburn	67	69	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.20	1	5	-4	17.1	17.4	-0.33	15.7	16.2	-0.49
George Lynch	38	37	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.05	4	2	2	16.2	17.9	-1.71	15.6	15.9	-0.26
Stacey Augmon	32	33	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.16	-2	8	-10	17.5	17.0	0.51	15.0	16.2	-1.24
Jamaal Magloire	31	32	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.09	-9	15	-24	15.6	18.0	-2.44	15.7	15.8	-0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.63,0.79,0.71,0.82,0.81,0.96,0.93,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 85, LAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.87,0.95,0.97,1,1,1	93.5%
WAS 91, PHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.85,0.7,0.66,0.57,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.97,1,1	93.4%
SAS 76, LAL 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.75,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.99,1,1	93.4%