NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	132		Excitement	7.7 [276]		MVP	Mark Blount (BOS): +12.6%
Boston Celtics	137		Comeback	1.9 [796]		LVP	Jason Collier (ATL): -9.5%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Bradley	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	5	100%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.00	0.04	7	87%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	81%	0.09	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Travis Hansen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	14	43%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mamadou N'diaye	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	17	59%	0.08	3	-0.09	7	71%	-0.02
Jason Terry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	0.00	-0.04	0.03	11	74%	0.16	6	-0.23	5	80%	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	0.05	18	57%	0.00	4	-0.09	6	83%	0.02
Jason Collier	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	10	45%	-0.02	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Blount	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.05	0.02	12	79%	0.21	3	-0.08	10	90%	0.02
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.05	-0.00	4	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.03	0.03	13	70%	0.13	1	-0.03	14	86%	0.02
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.01	-0.04	3	83%	0.06	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	3	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.03	4	56%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	18	56%	0.11	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.04
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	9	72%	0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	15	41%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.08
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	8	47%	-0.02	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	2.0	34.2	21.7	26.7	2.4	36.3	145.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +18.9%

BOS +10.0%

BOS +6.1%

BOS +20.6%

ATL -5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	BOS	NBA	ATL	BOS	NBA
this game	13.1	13.9	15.7	125.7	126.9	100.5
season	15.3	14.4		98.2	99.5
opponent	15.9	15.5		102.1	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.6	10.5	14.6	14.2	13.1
BOS	13.6	14.3	11.6	16.4	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collier	37	37	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.10	4	-9	13	12.8	13.3	-0.47	13.3	14.2	-0.86
Mamadou N'diaye	34	35	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.11	-1	-4	3	13.2	13.1	0.14	13.9	13.9	-0.05
Bob Sura	33	33	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	0	-5	13.4	13.0	0.37	15.0	13.4	1.56
Boris Diaw	73	75	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.54	13	-18	31	12.2	15.3	-3.12	14.4	12.8	1.54
Travis Hansen	89	92	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.50	7	-12	19	12.9	14.3	-1.38	13.9	13.8	0.09
Michael Bradley	23	24	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.07	-13	8	-21	14.6	12.7	1.88	13.0	14.1	-1.09
Stephen Jackson	71	73	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.12	-8	3	-11	13.1	13.3	-0.27	13.9	13.8	0.09
Jason Terry	99	102	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.31	-8	3	-11	13.2	12.3	0.86	13.5	21.3	-7.88
Chris Crawford	66	69	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.17	-14	9	-23	14.0	11.7	2.27	14.1	13.6	0.51

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jiri Welsch	90	87	0.93	-0.43	1.37	0.26	23	-18	41	13.6	15.5	-1.93	13.9	9.3	4.60
Walter McCarty	70	67	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.24	21	-16	37	13.9	13.8	0.11	14.6	10.5	4.14
Ricky Davis	92	89	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.39	8	-3	11	13.7	14.9	-1.16	13.1	13.5	-0.42
Mark Blount	88	85	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.14	7	-2	9	13.8	14.2	-0.38	12.6	15.6	-3.04
Chucky Atkins	47	44	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.12	13	-8	21	13.1	14.5	-1.35	12.8	13.4	-0.56
Marcus Banks	70	69	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.47	-12	17	-29	15.0	11.9	3.08	12.9	13.6	-0.63
Michael Stewart	5	4	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	0	5	10.8	14.0	-3.24	14.7	13.1	1.67
Chris Mihm	15	16	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.27	-7	12	-19	15.3	13.7	1.68	15.8	12.7	3.15
Jumaine Jones	13	13	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	9	-13	10.3	14.4	-4.07	9.2	13.7	-4.55
Brandon Hunter	25	25	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	0.10	-12	17	-29	15.6	13.4	2.28	11.2	13.7	-2.55
Dana Barros	25	26	-0.44	0.94	-1.37	0.06	-17	22	-39	14.1	13.8	0.25	11.8	13.6	-1.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.43,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.72,0.73,0.81,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.94,0.87,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 87, MEM 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.32,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.91,1	92.4%
NYK 105, MIA 122	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.72,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.59,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.57,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	92.2%
BOS 80, NOH 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.62,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.86,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.93,1,1,1,1	92.1%