NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	99		Excitement	5.1 [821]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +26.4%
Houston Rockets	113		Comeback	3.4 [915]		LVP	Kendall Marshall (LAL): -23.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.03	0.01	20	58%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	13	66%	0.07	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Jordan Hill	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Chris Kaman	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Sacre	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.02	0.05	13	58%	0.02	4	-0.08	10	90%	0.00
Ryan Kelly	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	3	25%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	13	38%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Marshall	-0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.07	-0.07	13	19%	-0.10	6	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.23	0.08	0.05	23	67%	0.29	1	-0.02	11	73%	-0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	75%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	64%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Terrence Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.01	0.03	14	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Isaiah Canaan	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	12	42%	-0.02	4	-0.03	7	57%	-0.02
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	14	38%	-0.06	0	0.00	24	42%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	28.7	14.7	27.5	2.5	37.2	136.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +30.2%

LAL -1.5%

LAL -1.1%

HOU +21.5%

HOU +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	HOU	NBA	LAL	HOU	NBA
this game	14.4	13.7	15.1	97.1	109.7	105.2
season	14.0	14.3		102.9	109.5
opponent	15.2	14.8		105.4	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.2	14.0	15.2	15.0	14.4
HOU	15.0	14.8	13.6	11.8	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Sacre	31	30	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-16	18	14.1	14.5	-0.41	13.4	13.9	-0.44
Chris Kaman	29	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.04	-2	-12	10	15.0	14.1	0.95	12.7	14.2	-1.54
Wesley Johnson	64	65	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.20	2	-16	18	13.8	15.2	-1.41	15.0	11.7	3.27
Jodie Meeks	76	77	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.02	-9	-5	-4	14.3	14.6	-0.30	13.1	15.8	-2.76
Ryan Kelly	28	27	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	-4	-6	13.7	14.6	-0.93	14.8	13.4	1.40
Pau Gasol	79	78	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.07	-16	2	-18	14.6	13.3	1.30	13.3	15.2	-1.97
Kendall Marshall	81	81	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.02	-13	-1	-12	14.5	13.6	0.92	13.4	15.0	-1.65
Nick Young	77	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.09	-11	-3	-8	14.6	13.6	1.00	13.9	13.2	0.70
Jordan Hill	45	46	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	-1	-12	14.1	14.5	-0.39	14.7	13.0	1.71

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	84	83	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.04	18	-4	22	13.3	15.5	-2.18	14.4	13.9	0.50
Dwight Howard	83	83	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	-1	16	13.1	16.6	-3.54	14.7	12.7	2.05
Jeremy Lin	85	85	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	0	14	13.5	14.9	-1.45	14.6	12.9	1.69
Terrence Jones	67	67	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.09	14	0	14	13.8	13.7	0.04	14.1	14.8	-0.64
Omri Casspi	44	42	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.12	5	9	-4	14.2	13.4	0.88	14.7	14.1	0.61
Francisco Garcia	49	49	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.03	9	5	4	12.4	15.0	-2.55	14.3	14.4	-0.01
Ronnie Brewer	48	47	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.18	-1	15	-16	15.0	12.6	2.42	14.4	14.3	0.02
Aaron Brooks	30	30	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	12	-10	15.7	12.9	2.80	13.8	14.6	-0.74
Isaiah Canaan	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	16.7	13.7	3.01	10.5	14.4	-3.93
Donatas Motiejunas	22	22	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	17	-20	14.9	13.4	1.42	12.5	14.9	-2.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.68,0.65,0.76,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 94, OKC 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.65,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
CHI 99, PHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.58,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.97,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.98,1	94.2%
GSW 107, SEA 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.23,0.24,0.31,0.23,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.41,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.91,1	94.2%