NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	107		Excitement	5.5 [738]		MVP	Ray Allen (SEA): +16.9%
Seattle SuperSonics	111		Comeback	3.8 [696]		LVP	Mike Dunleavy (GSW): -11.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andris Biedrins	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.02	10	64%	0.09	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.04
Derek Fisher	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.12	-0.00	0.06	11	73%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	-0.01	0.05	11	62%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Ike Diogu	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zarko Cabarkapa	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06	0.02	-0.03	0.05	26	54%	0.07	5	-0.13	13	69%	-0.01
Troy Murphy	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11	0.02	-0.08	0.05	14	51%	-0.07	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	7	14%	-0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.03	0.00	20	71%	0.25	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.04	0.01	19	57%	0.17	0	0.00	8	100%	0.04
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	4	69%	0.05	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Robert Swift	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.01	7	56%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	12	57%	0.08	4	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Mateen Cleaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	10	48%	0.01	4	-0.10	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	1.8	26.8	14.8	27.0	1.8	38.2	137.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +42.3%

GSW -0.6%

SEA +5.7%

GSW -3.1%

SEA +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	SEA	NBA	GSW	SEA	NBA
this game	15.3	14.2	15.6	109.2	114.4	104.4
season	14.8	15.0		102.9	108.9
opponent	15.8	15.5		112.2	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.5	16.5	16.3	13.8	15.3
SEA	14.9	12.8	13.0	16.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zarko Cabarkapa	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.02	1	-5	6	19.0	15.0	4.00	10.0	14.6	-4.58
Mike Dunleavy	58	58	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.18	4	-8	12	14.7	16.2	-1.50	12.9	16.2	-3.27
Monta Ellis	25	25	-0.10	-0.41	0.31	-0.18	3	-7	10	15.8	15.1	0.74	15.0	14.0	1.07
Adonal Foyle	24	24	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.07	-6	2	-8	16.0	15.1	0.89	12.8	14.7	-1.88
Ike Diogu	12	13	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.04	-6	2	-8	16.2	15.2	1.00	16.7	13.9	2.82
Troy Murphy	87	86	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.39	4	-8	12	14.9	18.1	-3.16	14.2	14.5	-0.34
Mickael Pietrus	72	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.12	-9	5	-14	16.0	13.2	2.80	14.5	13.6	0.96
Derek Fisher	54	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.48	3	-7	10	14.4	16.4	-2.08	15.4	12.9	2.49
Andris Biedrins	64	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	0	-4	15.3	15.3	-0.01	15.1	12.7	2.49
Baron Davis	87	87	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.28	-10	6	-16	15.3	15.5	-0.29	13.8	18.5	-4.74

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Ridnour	78	80	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.33	7	-3	10	14.3	14.2	0.11	14.7	17.7	-2.98
Rashard Lewis	68	71	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.27	8	-4	12	13.6	15.8	-2.20	15.0	16.1	-1.19
Ray Allen	84	85	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.30	4	0	4	14.1	15.0	-0.87	15.7	12.4	3.34
Vladimir Radmanovic	55	55	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	-6	16	12.8	16.1	-3.34	16.0	14.4	1.55
Johan Petro	30	30	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.05	8	-4	12	13.5	14.6	-1.13	16.2	14.9	1.27
Robert Swift	54	56	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.22	-2	6	-8	14.5	13.9	0.57	15.3	15.2	0.13
Ronald Murray	21	20	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	4	-4	15.3	13.9	1.39	14.1	15.6	-1.49
Nick Collison	42	43	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.26	-6	10	-16	16.1	12.8	3.34	14.4	16.0	-1.55
Mikki Moore	11	10	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	3	-2	17.0	13.9	3.10	14.5	15.4	-0.88
Damien Wilkins	31	29	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.20	-7	11	-18	15.0	13.9	1.15	15.3	15.3	0.08
Mateen Cleaves	11	11	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.03	-3	7	-10	12.9	14.4	-1.51	18.0	14.9	3.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.23,0.24,0.31,0.23,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.41,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 100, GSW 122	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
SAC 93, DAL 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
LAC 83, MIN 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.77,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%