NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	99		Excitement	5.4 [766]		MVP	Jodie Meeks (PHI): +25.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	105		Comeback	2.6 [443]		LVP	Derrick Rose (CHI): -6.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15	0.16	0.02	0.02	19	69%	0.22	2	-0.06	7	43%	-0.06
Taj Gibson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.05	0.00	17	54%	0.04	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.00
CJ Watson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.03	4	75%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	21	52%	0.03	4	-0.09	10	100%	0.06

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.21	0.06	0.02	11	89%	0.27	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.10	0.01	14	59%	0.18	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	14	61%	0.16	6	-0.13	3	100%	0.02
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	69%	0.07	2	-0.07	4	25%	-0.04
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	69%	0.06	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	10	40%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.8	29.2	16.7	27.2	2.4	37.5	140.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +52.3%

CHI -8.8%

PHI +3.0%

PHI +2.1%

PHI +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHI	NBA	CHI	PHI	NBA
this game	14.3	16.3	15.5	105.3	111.7	105.7
season	15.7	15.5		106.5	104.6
opponent	15.5	15.9		103.4	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.8	16.0	14.8	11.9	14.3
PHI	15.2	18.3	15.2	16.9	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Watson	39	39	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.24	8	-14	22	13.0	15.2	-2.19	17.3	15.6	1.67
Omer Asik	24	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-7	8	13.4	14.6	-1.25	18.4	15.6	2.79
Kyle Korver	31	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.20	4	-10	14	14.3	14.3	-0.08	16.6	16.2	0.47
Keith Bogans	28	29	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	1	-8	16.0	13.6	2.36	14.1	17.3	-3.22
Taj Gibson	40	42	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.18	-1	-5	4	14.8	13.9	0.90	17.9	15.0	2.89
Ronnie Brewer	50	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.16	-3	-3	0	14.9	13.7	1.22	17.7	14.8	2.89
Carlos Boozer	71	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-5	4	14.3	14.4	-0.11	15.9	17.7	-1.80
Kurt Thomas	43	44	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	6	-18	16.0	12.9	3.03	14.8	17.7	-2.88
Luol Deng	72	72	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	3	-12	13.6	16.6	-3.04	16.0	17.5	-1.53
Derrick Rose	72	71	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.26	-10	4	-14	13.8	16.1	-2.33	15.7	18.1	-2.38

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	78	78	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.18	14	-8	22	15.8	19.1	-3.37	14.2	14.7	-0.46
Jodie Meeks	84	82	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.25	10	-4	14	16.0	19.4	-3.44	14.5	12.7	1.88
Elton Brand	83	82	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.34	6	0	6	16.6	14.3	2.33	14.5	13.2	1.31
Andres Nocioni	50	48	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.22	10	-4	14	15.1	17.8	-2.71	13.7	14.9	-1.18
Spencer Hawes	54	53	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.08	14	-8	22	14.9	18.2	-3.34	15.8	12.4	3.45
Thaddeus Young	38	40	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.29	-5	11	-16	17.5	15.6	1.92	13.4	15.0	-1.54
Lou Williams	48	50	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.28	-6	12	-18	17.7	14.9	2.77	13.4	15.3	-1.90
Marreese Speights	8	9	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	11	-16	21.5	15.8	5.65	13.8	14.4	-0.59
Evan Turner	27	28	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.11	-8	14	-22	17.9	15.7	2.24	14.5	14.2	0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.58,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.97,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 82, DEN 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.52,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.4%
CHA 87, PHI 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.46,0.55,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.88,0.94,0.88,0.83,0.93,0.95,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%
LAL 99, HOU 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.68,0.65,0.76,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%