inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 94 Excitement5.3 [771] MVPPatty Mills (SAS): +13.4%
Oklahoma City Thunder 106 Comeback2.5 [641] LVPTony Parker (SAS): -18.0%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Patty Mills0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.140.010.011381%0.182-0.0500%0.00
Danny Green0.070,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.020.01-0.04955%0.101-0.02250%-0.01
Jeff Ayres0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cory Joseph-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Damion James-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Kawhi Leonard-0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.03-0.010.031557%0.042-0.0500%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.010,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.010.011545%-0.0100.00887%0.01
Boris Diaw-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.00667%0.064-0.1100%0.00
Marco Belinelli-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.110.00-0.021038%-0.034-0.051100%0.00
Tiago Splitter-0.110,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.02-0.00520%-0.052-0.0600%0.00
Tony Parker-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.11-0.07-0.001029%-0.063-0.1210%-0.02

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.100.070.042059%0.162-0.036100%0.02
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.110.010.02887%0.121-0.0300%0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.03-0.00367%0.0800.003100%0.02
Andre Roberson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.02-0.002125%0.071-0.0100%0.00
Caron Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.00-0.04533%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Kevin Durant0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.040.01-0.042648%0.094-0.086100%0.02
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.010.001100%0.041-0.032100%0.01
Jeremy Lamb0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Perry Jones00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Steven Adams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00450%0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.01-0.011146%0.032-0.04250%-0.01
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.33.731.218.730.53.033.0146.4
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +24.2%
OKC +15.3%
SAS -10.2%
OKC +23.3%
SAS -2.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASOKCNBASASOKCNBA
this game15.913.515.195.9108.2105.2
season15.014.4109.8107.8
opponent15.415.0102.9101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.715.119.014.015.9
OKC15.611.611.415.413.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cory Joseph99-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-141611.916.3-4.4415.213.31.93
Damion James1010-0.01-0.490.49-0.062-141613.716.2-2.4715.913.22.71
Tiago Splitter4039-0.10-0.400.31-0.04-2-10816.115.80.3512.913.8-0.86
Kawhi Leonard5859-0.15-0.350.21-0.150-121214.917.4-2.5514.312.22.06
Tony Parker5452-0.20-0.300.10-0.08-4-8416.515.21.2512.714.3-1.53
Jeff Ayres2729-0.21-0.290.08-0.18-1-111013.316.9-3.5715.212.72.47
Danny Green7475-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.14-5-7216.314.91.3812.815.7-2.91
Tim Duncan5857-0.32-0.18-0.15-0.06-9-3-616.814.62.2312.714.5-1.83
Patty Mills4952-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.05-11-1-1015.316.5-1.2212.514.5-1.98
Marco Belinelli6059-0.39-0.11-0.280.08-164-2016.215.50.7314.811.43.38
Boris Diaw5149-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.00-164-2017.614.13.4813.113.8-0.69

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Durant79800.480.020.450.0913-11413.314.3-0.9816.015.30.72
Reggie Jackson65630.410.090.330.0313-11413.613.20.4314.817.9-3.06
Caron Butler63630.350.150.200.05102813.912.71.1314.718.1-3.42
Serge Ibaka83830.330.170.170.2248-413.115.3-2.1215.816.7-0.88
Russell Westbrook62650.210.29-0.070.16210-813.014.3-1.2816.115.50.56
Nick Collison26260.200.30-0.10-0.0384413.713.40.2517.315.41.89
Steven Adams24240.170.33-0.16-0.0166016.212.63.6314.616.3-1.71
Andre Roberson29290.140.36-0.230.11111-1012.613.8-1.2518.614.83.74
Kendrick Perkins23240.120.38-0.270.06210-812.913.7-0.7819.314.84.47
Derek Fisher32300.090.41-0.320.06111-1013.713.40.3215.416.2-0.80
Jeremy Lamb220.000.50-0.500.00012-1213.013.5-0.4814.016.0-1.96
Perry Jones210.000.50-0.500.00012-1213.013.5-0.488.016.0-8.00


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.65,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 86, SEA 1020.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.5%
LAL 99, HOU 1130.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.68,0.65,0.76,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.2%
MIL 79, MIA 970.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.81,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,1,0.99,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.0%