NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	79		Excitement	4.9 [871]		MVP	Tyler Johnson (MIA): +14.3%
Miami Heat	97		Comeback	2.6 [572]		LVP	Eric Bledsoe (MIL): -20.0%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malcolm Brogdon	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.02	-0.04	12	62%	0.11	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.06	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,0,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.01	0.03	12	65%	0.14	2	-0.07	10	100%	0.05
D.J. Wilson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sterling Brown	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Kilpatrick	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	33%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
John Henson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	5	40%	0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	-0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	16	38%	-0.02	3	-0.08	10	90%	0.01
Eric Bledsoe	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.15	-0.07	-0.02	16	29%	-0.10	3	-0.10	3	67%	-0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.03	-0.02	11	61%	0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	9	80%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.07	0.09	17	66%	0.14	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	6	79%	0.17	4	-0.10	7	71%	-0.01
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	47%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Justise Winslow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	43%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	8	37%	0.02	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
James Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	8	25%	-0.10	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.5	29.5	15.4	27.6	2.5	25.4	127.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +53.2%

MIL -6.2%

MIL -3.7%

MIA +6.7%

MIA +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	MIA	NBA	MIL	MIA	NBA
this game	14.3	15.4	14.7	82.3	99.0	107.5
season	14.3	15.1		108.5	105.4
opponent	14.6	15.4		105.8	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.2	15.4	14.1	13.3	14.3
MIA	15.1	15.2	13.1	18.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sterling Brown	42	43	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.08	-1	-17	16	14.2	14.3	-0.12	17.3	13.9	3.39
Thon Maker	29	31	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.09	4	-22	26	15.6	13.7	1.82	17.3	14.5	2.82
D.J. Wilson	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-16	14	8.7	14.7	-5.99	13.0	15.6	-2.55
Sean Kilpatrick	26	25	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	-15	12	13.5	14.6	-1.07	14.7	15.6	-0.96
Matthew Dellavedova	21	21	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-18	18	16.9	13.5	3.36	17.3	14.9	2.40
Khris Middleton	65	66	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-13	8	14.8	13.2	1.56	15.9	14.4	1.43
Eric Bledsoe	64	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.16	-16	-2	-14	13.4	16.0	-2.58	15.0	16.3	-1.35
Tony Snell	39	39	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	-7	-4	15.6	13.4	2.25	16.0	15.0	1.00
John Henson	54	54	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.05	-15	-3	-12	14.3	14.2	0.12	14.0	17.1	-3.07
Malcolm Brogdon	71	73	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.11	-21	3	-24	13.8	15.6	-1.78	14.6	17.7	-3.12
Giannis Antetokounmpo	63	65	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.08	-20	2	-22	13.7	15.3	-1.60	14.8	16.7	-1.91

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Johnson	73	72	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.15	22	-4	26	14.5	18.0	-3.49	13.8	15.6	-1.79
Wayne Ellington	61	59	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.03	16	2	14	16.2	14.1	2.07	15.0	13.1	1.95
Hassan Whiteside	53	53	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	5	8	14.2	16.8	-2.67	14.0	14.7	-0.71
Goran Dragic	71	69	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.12	17	1	16	14.9	16.6	-1.70	13.3	16.9	-3.58
Bam Adebayo	55	54	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.01	10	8	2	16.3	14.2	2.12	14.6	13.8	0.84
James Johnson	55	53	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.18	14	4	10	14.6	16.4	-1.78	13.2	15.7	-2.48
Josh Richardson	64	64	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	15	-12	15.2	15.8	-0.65	14.7	13.5	1.17
Kelly Olynyk	33	32	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.13	-1	19	-20	17.1	14.5	2.60	16.0	13.4	2.62
Justise Winslow	25	24	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.12	-4	22	-26	18.0	14.5	3.49	15.6	13.8	1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.81,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,1,0.99,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 89, GSW 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.6,0.65,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
LAL 86, DEN 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.27,0.24,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
SAS 94, OKC 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.65,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%