NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	98		Excitement	8.5 [191]		MVP	Joe Johnson (BKN): +15.3%
Brooklyn Nets	102		Comeback	4.1 [119]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (GSW): -23.6%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	3	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	5	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Bogut	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	7	71%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	3	40%	0.02	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Toney Douglas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
David Lee	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	14	61%	0.11	5	-0.16	5	40%	-0.04
Stephen Curry	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06	0.01	-0.05	0.02	25	57%	0.22	7	-0.28	10	100%	0.08
Klay Thompson	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.06,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14	-0.02	-0.13	-0.00	15	47%	-0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.24	-0.04	-0.18	0.01	5	30%	-0.15	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.07	0.04	17	60%	0.19	1	-0.04	11	82%	0.06
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	7	76%	0.26	2	-0.12	3	100%	0.03
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.04	-0.02	11	54%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.08
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	5	67%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	13	53%	0.04	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	5	30%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	7	47%	-0.04	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.02
Alan Anderson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	5	20%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	7	50%	-0.06	4	-0.12	8	87%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.8	30.1	16.7	30.2	2.5	42.4	146.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -4.8%

BKN +22.9%

BKN +21.7%

BKN +9.8%

BKN +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	BKN	NBA	GSW	BKN	NBA
this game	13.6	15.9	15.1	100.0	105.2	105.2
season	14.2	15.7		105.9	105.1
opponent	15.5	15.3		106.7	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.0	14.6	13.9	14.0	13.6
BKN	15.7	14.8	16.1	17.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harrison Barnes	40	41	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.18	-8	4	-12	13.7	13.5	0.17	17.1	15.1	1.99
Toney Douglas	5	4	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	-1	-2	18.2	13.4	4.85	15.2	16.0	-0.73
Marreese Speights	15	14	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.15	-7	3	-10	15.5	13.3	2.20	14.8	16.1	-1.36
Kent Bazemore	4	4	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.10	-8	4	-12	18.7	13.4	5.37	16.0	15.9	0.05
Andrew Bogut	64	64	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-5	6	13.7	13.4	0.29	15.7	16.4	-0.68
David Lee	83	80	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.61	10	-14	24	13.4	14.9	-1.49	16.1	15.2	0.86
Klay Thompson	90	89	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.44	3	-7	10	13.3	17.5	-4.24	16.0	15.5	0.49
Stephen Curry	93	93	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.45	1	-5	6	13.4	18.2	-4.85	16.0	15.2	0.73
Draymond Green	32	32	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.16	-10	6	-16	13.9	13.4	0.50	15.7	16.1	-0.39
Andre Iguodala	64	64	-0.49	-0.00	-0.49	-0.52	1	-5	6	13.3	14.2	-0.88	15.6	16.7	-1.09

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mirza Teletovic	56	57	0.91	-0.41	1.33	0.24	23	-19	42	16.1	15.8	0.33	13.8	13.3	0.57
Shaun Livingston	72	71	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.46	1	3	-2	16.4	14.6	1.82	13.2	14.6	-1.42
Paul Pierce	67	69	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.52	-1	5	-6	16.1	15.7	0.36	13.7	13.3	0.41
Kevin Garnett	48	48	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.11	7	-3	10	15.8	16.1	-0.27	13.6	13.6	-0.04
Joe Johnson	79	79	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.40	-3	7	-10	15.3	18.7	-3.34	12.8	16.8	-3.95
Andray Blatche	49	50	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.27	-3	7	-10	16.1	15.8	0.27	13.6	13.6	0.04
Andrei Kirilenko	36	36	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.11	8	-4	12	16.4	15.7	0.79	13.9	13.5	0.41
Jason Terry	31	33	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.06	-1	5	-6	15.7	16.0	-0.30	14.0	13.4	0.55
Alan Anderson	47	47	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.07	-11	15	-26	15.7	16.2	-0.48	14.6	12.7	1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.46,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.47,0.25,0.28,0.57,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 83, UTA 88	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.47,0.54,0.31,0.46,0.67,0.98,1	90.6%
OKC 112, SAC 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.29,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.34,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.59,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.48,0.85,0.83,1	89.8%
MEM 103, PHX 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.35,0.46,0.31,0.55,0.85,0.91,1	88.8%