NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	112		Excitement	10.2 [63]		MVP	Rudy Gay (SAC): +49.5%
Sacramento Kings	114		Comeback	2.4 [681]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): -32.9%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Roberson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.09	0.00	3	100%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	9	70%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Enes Kanter	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	7	61%	0.12	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.06
Randy Foye	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.05	0.00	3	83%	0.13	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	80%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cameron Payne	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Kevin Durant	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.02,0.02,-0.07	-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	29	48%	0.12	5	-0.18	6	83%	0.03
Russell Westbrook	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.21,-0.31,-0.37,-0.12	-0.01	-0.07	0.04	15	60%	0.32	8	-0.44	10	90%	0.19

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.5	0.50	0.06	0.44	-0.00	19	53%	0.52	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.03
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.24,0.2,0.25	0.25	0.14	0.13	0.02	16	77%	0.43	4	-0.18	3	100%	0.01
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.02	-0.00	13	77%	0.22	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	0.00	5	80%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	58%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
James Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	7	36%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.16,-0.2,-0.26,-0.26,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	-0.33	-0.19	-0.15	-0.01	24	29%	-0.25	2	-0.08	4	25%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.6	32.2	16.7	25.2	2.5	42.2	147.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +32.0%

OKC -24.5%

OKC -8.5%

SAC +46.6%

SAC +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	SAC	NBA	OKC	SAC	NBA
this game	14.0	15.2	14.9	114.3	115.2	105.1
season	14.4	13.9		111.5	104.8
opponent	14.6	15.1		107.1	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.5	16.2	13.5	12.1	14.0
SAC	14.9	15.1	16.5	14.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Morrow	16	13	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.20	0	-2	2	13.1	14.2	-1.06	11.5	15.8	-4.33
Enes Kanter	38	39	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.14	-1	-1	0	14.7	13.6	1.14	16.4	14.5	1.92
Dion Waiters	45	44	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.25	-6	4	-10	15.5	12.7	2.78	14.7	15.6	-0.85
Kyle Singler	29	30	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.09	-3	1	-4	16.4	13.0	3.41	15.5	15.1	0.40
Cameron Payne	9	10	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	0	-2	15.7	13.8	1.82	16.7	15.1	1.64
Serge Ibaka	61	61	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.28	1	-3	4	13.8	14.4	-0.68	14.9	15.7	-0.79
Kevin Durant	81	85	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.49	4	-6	10	13.6	16.1	-2.55	15.4	14.4	0.92
Russell Westbrook	74	71	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.55	3	-5	8	13.6	15.3	-1.75	15.0	15.9	-0.89
Randy Foye	39	41	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.36	-5	3	-8	13.0	14.7	-1.72	14.7	15.6	-0.84
Steven Adams	53	52	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.55	1	-3	4	14.2	13.8	0.39	15.4	15.0	0.42
Andre Roberson	45	49	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.67	-2	0	-2	12.9	15.0	-2.07	16.0	14.5	1.46

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kosta Koufos	34	33	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.46	12	-10	22	14.3	15.7	-1.37	15.4	13.3	2.13
Seth Curry	67	67	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.33	12	-10	22	14.9	15.9	-1.06	14.6	12.8	1.76
Quincy Acy	42	41	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.19	16	-14	30	15.5	15.1	0.40	15.1	13.2	1.91
Rudy Gay	78	77	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.52	4	-2	6	15.5	14.2	1.31	13.5	15.7	-2.17
Darren Collison	77	75	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.48	-7	9	-16	15.2	15.2	-0.01	13.6	15.3	-1.69
DeMarcus Cousins	65	64	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.19	-6	8	-14	15.5	14.7	0.74	14.2	13.7	0.47
Ben McLemore	34	34	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.23	6	-4	10	16.0	14.8	1.18	14.5	13.7	0.80
James Anderson	53	53	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.23	-12	14	-26	14.7	15.8	-1.17	13.5	14.6	-1.13
Willie Cauley-Stein	45	46	-0.40	0.90	-1.31	0.04	-15	17	-32	15.4	15.1	0.33	12.6	15.2	-2.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.29,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.34,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.59,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.48,0.85,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 102, DAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.46,0.45,0.85,0.99,1	91.9%
POR 103, NYK 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.54,0.9,0.73,1	91.7%
VAN 98, PHX 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.4,0.53,0.45,0.63,0.76,0.85,1	91.5%