NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	102		Excitement	8.7 [154]		MVP	Jim Jackson (DAL): +16.8%
Dallas Mavericks	106		Comeback	2.5 [516]		LVP	Derrick Coleman (PHI): -25.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug Overton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.11,0,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	25	61%	0.25	7	-0.25	9	89%	0.03
Mark Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	9	28%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	12	48%	0.01	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Scott Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	17	43%	-0.05	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Lucious Harris	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15	-0.05	-0.07	0.03	9	33%	-0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.25	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25	-0.08	-0.17	0.01	17	49%	-0.03	3	-0.22	9	78%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.10	-0.00	11	66%	0.17	0	0.00	10	80%	0.03
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.09,0.02,0.11,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.12	-0.01	18	59%	0.24	3	-0.10	5	80%	0.02
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	6	67%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.05	-0.02	7	50%	0.05	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.01
Derek Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	16	56%	0.10	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	12	45%	-0.04	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.02	7	43%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17	-0.17	-0.17	-0.06	-0.05	13	12%	-0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.5	28.1	14.8	26.1	1.8	39.0	133.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +38.0%

DAL +5.4%

PHI -42.6%

DAL +49.2%

DAL +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DAL	NBA	PHI	DAL	NBA
this game	16.7	13.4	15.6	106.2	111.6	104.4
season	14.7	15.9		101.4	99.1
opponent	15.7	14.7		105.5	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.1	18.5	16.2	15.2	16.7
DAL	14.9	11.2	15.1	12.5	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Williams	46	44	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.00	7	-11	18	16.7	16.8	-0.06	15.6	11.5	4.02
Lucious Harris	29	29	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-6	8	18.6	15.9	2.61	11.8	14.1	-2.38
Doug Overton	5	5	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-1	-2	15.6	16.8	-1.19	12.0	13.5	-1.49
Michael Cage	34	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.08	-6	2	-8	19.6	15.1	4.52	12.1	14.1	-2.01
Derrick Coleman	84	85	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.45	5	-9	14	15.9	22.7	-6.88	13.7	10.8	2.92
Allen Iverson	91	90	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.40	-1	-3	2	16.8	15.6	1.19	13.5	12.0	1.49
Jerry Stackhouse	72	71	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.49	-1	-3	2	15.2	21.5	-6.31	13.4	13.3	0.10
Mark Davis	51	51	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.38	-6	2	-8	17.2	16.2	1.04	11.9	15.1	-3.17
Clar. Weatherspoon	68	65	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.24	-17	13	-30	16.9	16.4	0.53	14.1	11.9	2.16

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim Jackson	74	76	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.41	5	-1	6	13.4	13.3	0.16	16.1	19.3	-3.25
Oliver Miller	51	51	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.33	7	-3	10	11.9	15.1	-3.17	17.4	16.0	1.41
Derek Harper	66	64	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.35	4	0	4	12.9	14.5	-1.59	16.4	17.4	-1.06
Chris Gatling	60	59	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.31	5	-1	6	12.3	15.2	-2.88	16.6	17.0	-0.44
Jason Kidd	83	86	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.38	2	2	0	13.2	15.0	-1.82	16.7	16.9	-0.19
George McCloud	62	64	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	2	0	14.2	11.9	2.25	17.6	15.1	2.50
Samaki Walker	35	37	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	5	-6	15.2	12.3	2.88	17.0	16.6	0.44
Eric Montross	44	43	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	8	-12	15.1	11.9	3.17	16.5	16.9	-0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.46,0.45,0.85,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 91, MIL 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.61,0.71,0.77,0.84,1	92.3%
UTA 87, WAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.68,0.98,1	92.3%
POR 102, GSW 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.62,0.69,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.17,0.25,0.63,0.94,0.99,1	92.0%