NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	87		Excitement	3.1 [1162]		MVP	Pero Antic (ATL): +12.6%
Atlanta Hawks	97		Comeback	1.0 [541]		LVP	Roy Hibbert (IND): -8.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.03	4	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	7	64%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	25	52%	0.04	4	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
George Hill	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	12	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	0.00	0.04	10	56%	-0.00	3	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Luis Scola	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	11	36%	-0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.13	0.00	-0.05	8	12%	-0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pero Antic	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.00	-0.01	10	73%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	-0.01	9	68%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.15	0.00	0.06	8	94%	0.09	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.00	8	69%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.09	14	44%	0.05	3	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	5	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	42%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	6	43%	0.01	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	10	18%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	1.8	26.3	15.0	28.0	1.8	35.0	129.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +33.9%

ATL +3.9%

IND -7.5%

ATL +19.3%

ATL +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	NBA	IND	ATL	NBA
this game	15.6	15.9	15.1	95.6	105.4	105.2
season	15.8	14.8		102.7	103.8
opponent	15.3	15.2		104.7	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.6	18.0	15.8	13.2	15.6
ATL	15.7	17.1	14.9	16.2	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ian Mahinmi	36	38	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.30	8	-18	26	15.0	15.9	-0.88	15.3	16.3	-1.02
Rasual Butler	33	33	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.10	0	-10	10	14.7	16.1	-1.35	15.2	16.3	-1.19
Luis Scola	36	34	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.15	1	-11	12	14.6	16.2	-1.66	17.9	14.8	3.08
CJ Watson	48	48	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-9	8	14.5	16.7	-2.16	15.8	16.0	-0.25
Danny Granger	62	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.07	-9	-1	-8	15.9	14.9	0.92	15.1	17.7	-2.54
David West	62	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.17	-8	-2	-6	16.0	14.7	1.28	15.9	16.0	-0.12
Roy Hibbert	40	39	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.21	-21	11	-32	17.3	14.2	3.15	16.2	15.7	0.55
George Hill	60	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.13	-10	0	-10	15.9	14.9	0.95	16.0	15.6	0.42
Paul George	78	79	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.18	-10	0	-10	15.6	15.6	-0.06	16.2	14.4	1.78

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarre Carroll	72	73	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	0	10	16.0	15.5	0.46	15.5	15.6	-0.06
Pero Antic	53	53	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.14	20	-10	30	15.1	17.0	-1.89	15.6	15.5	0.10
Jeff Teague	67	65	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.12	10	0	10	16.0	15.8	0.16	15.3	16.3	-1.05
Kyle Korver	72	71	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	-1	12	15.3	17.9	-2.60	15.9	14.5	1.36
Paul Millsap	62	60	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.13	8	2	6	16.3	15.2	1.06	15.4	15.8	-0.32
Mike Scott	33	33	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	10	-10	15.8	16.0	-0.20	15.5	15.6	-0.17
Louis Williams	40	38	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	11	-12	16.7	15.3	1.48	15.0	15.9	-0.92
Shelvin Mack	25	26	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.08	0	10	-10	15.8	16.0	-0.16	16.3	15.3	1.05
Elton Brand	36	36	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.28	-8	18	-26	16.6	15.5	1.15	15.8	15.4	0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 84, DET 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.8%
PHX 98, NYK 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1	96.8%
GSW 83, LAL 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%