NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	98		Excitement	3.0 [1167]		MVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): +10.7%
New York Knicks	106		Comeback	1.0 [641]		LVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): -9.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	9	70%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alton Ford	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	56%	0.01	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Casey Jacobsen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.07	9	64%	-0.03	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03
Shawn Marion	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	23	47%	-0.01	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	0.05	28	48%	-0.06	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.02
Joe Johnson	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.14	-0.00	-0.06	12	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.14	-0.00	-0.04	6	19%	-0.08	2	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.00	-0.02	24	55%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.00	-0.01	22	60%	0.11	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.00	-0.06	14	52%	0.07	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	9	56%	0.04	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	10	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	3	37%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.7	31.5	17.6	25.5	2.7	32.3	134.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +43.5%

NYK +0.4%

PHX -3.1%

NYK +9.8%

PHX -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	NYK	NBA	PHX	NYK	NBA
this game	13.9	16.4	15.5	104.3	110.4	101.6
season	15.0	15.6		101.1	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.9		104.0	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.5	13.2	13.2	12.8	13.9
NYK	16.2	15.0	18.1	16.6	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Voskuhl	11	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-7	6	13.3	14.0	-0.69	18.8	16.1	2.77
Casey Jacobsen	55	57	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.46	12	-20	32	12.1	16.5	-4.41	17.1	15.4	1.68
Bo Outlaw	45	47	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.32	7	-15	22	13.3	14.4	-1.14	15.7	17.0	-1.30
Randy Brown	11	11	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	-2	-4	14.8	13.8	1.06	15.5	16.5	-1.07
Stephon Marbury	85	88	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.36	0	-8	8	13.7	15.6	-1.85	16.7	13.2	3.44
Amar'e Stoudemire	51	52	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.11	-16	8	-24	15.0	12.6	2.40	15.8	17.1	-1.26
Shawn Marion	85	87	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-4	0	13.9	13.3	0.61	16.6	14.3	2.29
Scott Williams	38	37	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.22	-24	16	-40	15.4	12.8	2.58	15.6	16.9	-1.32
Joe Johnson	89	89	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.22	-10	2	-12	14.1	10.0	4.10	16.3	17.9	-1.57

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	84	82	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.08	15	-7	22	16.3	17.2	-0.96	14.0	12.7	1.30
Kurt Thomas	75	73	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.08	15	-7	22	16.1	17.3	-1.19	14.5	11.9	2.61
Allan Houston	85	83	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	-4	16	16.4	16.7	-0.36	13.8	14.2	-0.34
Latrell Sprewell	76	72	0.42	0.07	0.35	0.16	9	-1	10	16.4	16.5	-0.18	14.6	11.7	2.87
Howard Eisley	62	62	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.12	8	0	8	16.9	15.6	1.31	14.4	12.8	1.58
Charlie Ward	34	32	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.15	0	8	-8	15.6	16.9	-1.31	12.8	14.4	-1.58
Shandon Anderson	25	27	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	8	-8	16.0	16.5	-0.50	12.4	14.5	-2.02
Michael Doleac	17	18	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.14	-5	13	-18	17.6	16.2	1.44	12.2	14.3	-2.05
Lee Nailon	6	6	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.14	-5	13	-18	19.0	16.2	2.77	12.8	14.0	-1.12
Clar. Weatherspoon	16	15	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.23	-9	17	-26	17.0	16.3	0.71	12.1	14.2	-2.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 102, SAC 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
LAC 85, SAS 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
MIL 81, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%