NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	85		Excitement	2.4 [766]		MVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): +10.2%
San Antonio Spurs	114		Comeback	1.0 [784]		LVP	Malik Rose (SAS): -7.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.03	-0.00	-0.10	14	40%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyrone Nesby	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	8	76%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Keith Closs	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	11	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	6	69%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	8	28%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Darrick Martin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	5	50%	-0.02	4	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	12	38%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	12	36%	-0.06	2	-0.00	4	100%	-0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.02	0.03	16	69%	0.12	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.02
David Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.01	10	72%	0.09	2	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Sean Elliott	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.00	0.03	7	81%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	11	62%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	69%	0.03	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	5	40%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	1	50%	0.01	2	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.06	5	90%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Gaze	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	75%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.22	-0.00	-0.15	6	32%	-0.01	5	-0.06	10	50%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	27.6	16.4	25.4	1.8	26.0	121.8
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +38.3%

SAS +7.1%

SAS +6.0%

LAC -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAS	NBA	LAC	SAS	NBA
this game	15.9	15.2	15.8	92.4	122.6	99.6
season	16.7	15.9		97.5	101.1
opponent	15.9	14.7		92.7	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	19.2	14.7	16.2	13.8	15.9
SAS	13.5	18.0	13.8	15.6	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Closs	24	25	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-27	25	13.8	16.7	-2.90	15.6	15.1	0.49
Rodney Rogers	46	46	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.17	-7	-22	15	14.2	17.6	-3.39	14.7	15.7	-1.05
Darrick Martin	40	41	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	-22	15	13.7	17.6	-3.91	16.4	14.3	2.12
Brian Skinner	11	13	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	-23	17	15.0	16.1	-1.06	18.2	14.7	3.43
Eric Piatkowski	45	47	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.28	-16	-13	-3	15.4	16.4	-1.05	14.0	16.4	-2.35
Lamond Murray	59	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.21	-15	-14	-1	15.2	17.3	-2.09	14.6	16.3	-1.69
Tyrone Nesby	33	32	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.14	-14	-15	1	17.3	15.2	2.09	16.3	14.6	1.69
Lorenzen Wright	52	52	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	-15	1	17.3	14.1	3.20	15.1	15.3	-0.20
Sherman Douglas	52	52	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.31	-22	-7	-15	17.6	13.7	3.91	14.3	16.4	-2.12
Maurice Taylor	51	50	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.37	-29	0	-29	17.3	14.3	2.96	14.8	15.6	-0.79

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaren Jackson	46	48	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.30	27	2	25	15.2	15.2	0.07	17.6	14.1	3.58
Tim Duncan	54	53	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.30	26	3	23	15.6	14.6	0.97	17.8	13.3	4.52
Sean Elliott	47	49	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.28	25	4	21	15.4	15.0	0.40	17.5	14.1	3.37
Avery Johnson	40	41	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.06	15	14	1	15.5	15.0	0.47	18.1	14.2	3.86
David Robinson	45	47	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.15	18	11	7	15.3	15.1	0.25	17.9	13.9	4.00
Antonio Daniels	53	51	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.29	14	15	-1	15.0	15.5	-0.47	14.2	18.1	-3.86
Malik Rose	41	41	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.08	6	23	-17	14.8	15.5	-0.67	13.0	18.3	-5.21
Will Perdue	46	43	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.16	8	21	-13	14.9	15.5	-0.53	14.2	17.5	-3.28
Jerome Kersey	37	34	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.16	7	22	-15	14.4	15.7	-1.28	14.5	16.8	-2.28
Steve Kerr	39	36	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	32	-35	15.0	15.4	-0.40	13.9	17.2	-3.36
Andrew Gaze	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	27	-25	16.8	14.9	1.91	13.8	16.4	-2.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 98, NYK 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1	97.5%
NYK 97, BOS 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
MEM 89, CLE 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%