NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	84		Excitement	2.7 [1198]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): +15.4%
Detroit Pistons	106		Comeback	1.0 [1173]		LVP	Aaron Williams (NJN): -5.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tamar Slay	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	10	62%	0.04	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Brandon Armstrong	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	23	54%	0.04	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	5	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.02	12	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	2	12%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.01
Kerry Kittles	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	16	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.17	0.00	0.02	15	77%	0.16	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	0.00	0.05	14	73%	0.09	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	83%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.02	10	59%	0.00	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.02
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	15	37%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.4	27.4	15.4	25.5	2.4	29.2	128.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +41.8%

DET +1.3%

DET +0.7%

DET +4.2%

DET +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DET	NBA	NJN	DET	NBA
this game	16.6	16.5	15.5	96.6	121.8	101.6
season	15.0	16.8		101.1	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.9		97.8	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	17.5	16.2	16.9	15.6	16.6
DET	14.5	15.8	18.2	17.8	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Armstrong	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.21	-7	-15	8	16.7	16.6	0.10	16.5	16.5	-0.03
Tamar Slay	28	27	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.18	-11	-11	0	15.3	17.2	-1.90	17.0	16.3	0.74
Lucious Harris	52	51	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.19	1	-23	24	15.8	17.7	-1.86	16.1	17.1	-0.95
Aaron Williams	36	34	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.11	-3	-19	16	16.7	16.5	0.25	15.7	17.1	-1.40
Anthony Johnson	45	46	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.24	-20	-2	-18	17.4	15.7	1.62	17.2	15.8	1.42
Brian Scalabrine	72	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.15	-18	-4	-14	16.6	16.4	0.21	16.6	16.2	0.35
Jason Collins	50	52	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.32	-24	2	-26	17.5	15.4	2.08	15.6	17.9	-2.27
Kenyon Martin	72	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.05	-13	-9	-4	16.5	17.0	-0.51	17.3	13.2	4.02
Kerry Kittles	77	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	-7	-8	16.5	17.2	-0.71	16.5	16.9	-0.44

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clifford Robinson	72	73	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.03	19	3	16	16.9	14.9	2.01	16.5	17.0	-0.51
Richard Hamilton	51	52	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.38	26	-4	30	16.5	16.5	0.05	16.6	16.5	0.05
Ben Wallace	38	38	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.08	15	7	8	14.8	17.9	-3.13	17.1	16.2	0.85
Chauncey Billups	63	64	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.24	20	2	18	16.4	16.7	-0.31	17.2	14.7	2.50
Michael Curry	36	37	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.05	7	15	-8	17.2	16.0	1.18	17.0	16.3	0.69
Corliss Williamson	59	58	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.13	13	9	4	16.2	17.2	-1.06	16.1	17.6	-1.52
Chucky Atkins	24	23	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	20	-18	16.7	16.4	0.31	14.7	17.2	-2.50
Jon Barry	36	35	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.23	-4	26	-30	16.5	16.5	-0.05	16.5	16.6	-0.05
Mehmet Okur	44	44	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.14	8	14	-6	16.8	16.2	0.59	16.5	16.7	-0.24
Tayshaun Prince	12	11	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.11	4	18	-14	18.6	16.2	2.38	17.3	16.5	0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 80, BOS 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
PHX 98, NYK 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1	97.1%
ATL 79, POR 94	0.5,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%