NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	97		Excitement	5.9 [642]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +16.1%
Dallas Mavericks	110		Comeback	1.2 [1195]		LVP	Nick Young (LAL): -14.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jodie Meeks	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.05	0.03	16	59%	0.13	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.03
Wesley Johnson	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	-0.01	-0.03	14	61%	0.13	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Kelly	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.04	5	42%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kendall Marshall	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	10	82%	0.14	6	-0.16	2	50%	-0.02
Jordan Hill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	6	56%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.05
Robert Sacre	-0.12	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	9	35%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Pau Gasol	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.06	0.02	14	43%	-0.05	3	-0.09	7	71%	-0.01
Nick Young	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	-0.00	7	14%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.06	-0.01	20	61%	0.21	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.02	0.01	12	73%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.00	8	75%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.02	10	65%	0.07	1	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Larkin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	18	42%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Gal Mekel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.0	29.3	17.3	23.8	2.0	25.3	123.7
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +30.3%

DAL +0.9%

LAL -11.2%

DAL +29.3%

DAL +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DAL	NBA	LAL	DAL	NBA
this game	13.6	14.5	15.1	94.2	107.8	105.2
season	14.0	15.3		102.9	109.0
opponent	15.0	14.8		107.0	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.1	13.9	13.9	13.6	13.6
DAL	13.1	13.8	14.3	17.1	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Kelly	54	54	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.19	4	-17	21	13.0	14.3	-1.30	15.7	13.1	2.60
Robert Sacre	58	59	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.14	-3	-10	7	13.6	13.6	0.08	14.6	14.3	0.26
Jordan Hill	45	43	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	-7	1	14.1	13.2	0.90	14.0	14.9	-0.90
Jodie Meeks	88	88	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-8	3	13.3	15.6	-2.34	14.8	12.5	2.32
Nick Young	41	40	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.02	-8	-5	-3	14.2	13.2	0.99	14.0	14.8	-0.86
Wesley Johnson	77	78	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.03	-13	0	-13	13.6	13.7	-0.07	14.6	14.1	0.54
Kendall Marshall	73	70	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.02	-18	5	-23	13.8	13.2	0.57	14.0	15.5	-1.46
Pau Gasol	79	78	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.08	-16	3	-19	13.6	13.5	0.19	14.1	16.0	-1.91

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jose Calderon	78	78	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.03	24	-11	35	14.0	16.1	-2.12	13.9	12.5	1.43
DeJuan Blair	59	59	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.06	14	-1	15	14.3	14.7	-0.38	13.6	13.7	-0.10
Vince Carter	55	56	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.03	15	-2	17	13.8	15.3	-1.56	13.8	13.3	0.48
Brandan Wright	34	37	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	9	-5	15.3	14.1	1.19	14.0	13.4	0.62
Monta Ellis	79	80	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.11	8	5	3	14.5	14.4	0.08	13.5	13.9	-0.40
Shawn Marion	36	36	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.07	11	2	9	12.7	15.5	-2.83	14.0	13.4	0.61
Jae Crowder	44	44	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.05	3	10	-7	15.9	13.4	2.48	13.2	13.9	-0.61
Samuel Dalembert	27	26	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.02	2	11	-9	14.3	14.6	-0.33	13.8	13.5	0.28
Shane Larkin	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	19.5	14.4	5.10	11.7	13.7	-1.99
Wayne Ellington	13	13	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	15	-17	16.9	14.1	2.78	14.0	13.5	0.46
Dirk Nowitzki	67	67	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.08	-6	19	-25	14.9	13.8	1.02	13.0	14.7	-1.76
Gal Mekel	16	16	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.06	-8	21	-29	14.8	14.4	0.37	13.2	13.7	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.78,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.89,0.89,0.81,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 80, MIN 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.92,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.8,0.94,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
LAC 84, SAS 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.83,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.86,0.76,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.93,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	94.7%
NYK 100, OKC 112	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.76,0.9,0.84,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.76,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.5%